This is a delayed video sample of what I share with members to my Wealth Trading Newsletter each and every morning
before the market opens. Learn, Be Alerted, and Profit!
Posts
Smart traders are already asking themselves “where is the bottom for this move”. They’ve likely been through these types of rotations in market price before and understand the fundamentals of the US economy are strong enough to support further upside price activity in the near future. The current US/China trade worries could result in a pricing disruption of 4 to 8%, seen as rotation, yet the US Fed is continuing to leave rates unchanged and most US economic numbers are still posting strong levels.
So, smart traders want to know where the bottom in the market is likely to be found and when they should start to accumulate new long positions – which is understandable. We’re here to help.
Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is one of the unique modeling tools we use to hone into any market move. The reason for this is because it shows us so much data that we can “read into” our analysis/research. The other reason is that it is an “adaptive learning” model – which means it continues to learn from price data and adapt its analysis of that data.
Let’s start with the Weekly YM chart. The GREEN highlighted box on this chart shows where the past two Bullish Fibonacci price trigger levels were generated. These, obviously, become key support levels going forward. The narrow ORANGE box near the current peak is the resistance channel we highlighted many weeks ago that suggested a volatility rotation peak may be setting up. We have also drawn an oblique/circle on the chart in BLUE that highlights upside Fibonacci target price levels.
It is our opinion that a further downside leg, possibly to levels below $25,000, are possible as this Shake-Out continues and as the global markets continue to revalue expectations. We are watching the currencies very closely as the Chinese Yuan has devalued extensively over the past few days. This US Dollar strength will keep metals fairly flat while prompting some extra stability in the US stock market over time.
This next chart, the NQ Weekly, shows a similar chart format to that of the YM. Clear resistance can be seen near the recent highs and support is found near the $6600 level from previous Fibonacci Bullish Price Trigger Levels. The NQ, being very heavily weighted in Technology and Internet stocks, may have the ability to fall the furthest within this price rotation – possibly as much as -700 to -800 pts before finding support. Currently, a support level near $7400 is the first level we are watching. If the NQ breaks below this level, then we could see a much bigger move to the downside unfold fairly quickly.
Lastly, the Transportation Index (TRAN) is showing us that the downside price move may have already reached a level that may prompt intermediate price support – or a potential base formation. The $10,400 to $10,500 level, which was already reached, appears to be the initial support level for the TRAN. It would make sense that the TRAN may begin to base near this level over the next few days/weeks while the US stock market attempts to hammer out a bottom.
Ultimately, the $10,000 level has proven to be very strong historical support for the TRAN. So any breakdown in this index would immediately prompt a target level of $10,000 for the next support level. Again, pay attention to the US Dollar and Gold as this movement continues. Any real fear will translate into a weaker US Dollar and increasing prices in precious metals.
In closing, we believe the early signs of a potential price bottom are setting up right now. This may not be the ultimate bottom, but the clear support level in the TRAN is a very good sign that the markets are setting up a support base that may prompt some sideways trading over the next few weeks as the market continues to digest all this global trade news. A deeper “washout-low” price formation may set up in the INDU or the NQ over the next few days which means we may see a deeper price rotation before the downtrend actually ends.
Right now, pay attention to our continued research and we’ll help you find the bottom when it forms. Our current expectations are for a continued downside price move that will establish a washout-low formation over the next 3 to 10 trading days. We’re not out of the woods yet, but we are starting to see the early signs of price support – which means a bottom may not be too far off.
UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY ONLY IN MAY
On May 1st we talked about the old saying goes, “Sell in May and Go Away!” and that is excactly what is happening now right on queue. In fact, we closed out our SDS position today for a quick 3.9% profit and our other new trade started today is up already 10%.
Second, my birthday is only a few days away and I think its time I open the doors for a once a year opportunity for everyone to get a gift that could have some considerable value in the future.
Right now I am going to give away and shipping out silver rounds to anyone who buys a 1-year, or 2-year subscription to my Wealth Trading Newsletter. I only have 13 left as they are going fast so be sure to upgrade your membership to a longer-term subscription or if you are new, join one of these two plans, and you will receive:
1-Year Subscription Gets One 1oz Silver Round FREE
(Could be worth hundreds of dollars)
2-Year Subscription Gets TWO 1oz Silver Rounds FREE
(Could be worth a lot in the future)
I only have 13 more silver rounds I’m giving away
so upgrade or join now before its too late!
SUBSCRIBE TO MY TRADE ALERTS AND GET YOUR FREE SILVER ROUNDS!
Happy May Everyone!
Chris Vermeulen
Last year just days before the big Bitcoin breakdown we notified everyone publicly to get ready for a swift drop from $6000 to $4000 which played out perfectly within a few days. Our cycle system and technical analysis skills combined can pack a powerful punch and this one of those incredible moves where the stars aligned for us as traders.
October 12, 2018 – Post and Chart Here
We then further updated our followers in March of this year that a breakout was about to take place and a run to $6000 should take place. After that upside breakout move on April 8th, we posted this video further confirming $5800-$6000 was still the target.
Today/May Bitcoin appears to be setting up a broader top formation that suggests another move lower is about to unfold.
This first Daily chart highlights both support and resistance in Bitcoin. The Resistance goes all the way back to July 2018 where a Three River Morning Star pattern set up a gap with a Doji Star formation. This created the support level that was ultimately broken in November 2018. Support formed near $4000 in early 2019 with similar types of gap formations. This support level was ultimately broken in April 2019 with a move back up to resistance near $6000.
We believe the setup of the most recent price activity is setting up a classic three mountains top formation. A weak price rotation prompting a downside price move right now could be a short term ultimately top with next support near $5000. We believe a fairly quick downside price move toward the $4400 level (or lower) – near support.
Once price move to near the $4400 price level, or lower, if the support level is broken, we could see the price of Bitcoin fall all the way towards the $3500 level or lower. Fibonacci price theory suggests the failed high price move, near $7500, would represent a major failed high. This failure suggests a move lower attempting to establish a new price low. For this to happen, the price of Bitcoin would have to fall below $3000 which may sound crazy, but so was $20,000 bitcoin!
Watch for a reversal to unfold in the coming days, could be another opportunity to profit from another cryptocurrency collapse. Any failure of this breakdown/reversal move would suggest Bitcoin is setting up a new Pennant/Flag formation where the price will trade sideways before prompting a bigger breakout move. We believe a price breakdown is about to unfold and we expect prices to fall below $4400 within 14 to 28 days.
If you want to become a technical trader and pull money from the markets during times when most others cannot be sure to join the Wealth Trading Newsletter today. Plus, for a few days only I’m giving away and shipping Free Silver Rounds to subscribers who join our select membership levels.
Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com
Precious Metals traders have been hanging on every turn in the markets over the past 2+ years. The upside price move in early 2016 setup a very strong expectation that further upside price moves were about to result in an upside price explosion in metals. Remember, 2016 was a very big US Presidential election year. 2020, being the next big US Presidential election year, is only about 7 months away and the rancor has already started in the news cycles.
Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that Silver has set up an ABC bottom in Oct/Nov 2018 and has already initiated an A/B upside price leg that should result in a C or C/D/E price advance over the next few months. Our Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting an upside price target of $22 per ounce for this move, which breaks the previous July 2016 highs of $21.22. We believe the ultimate upside target of this next bullish move is bear $28 to $29 based on longer-term Fibonacci price modeling.
Initially, this upside move must break the $16.30 level, which represents immediate resistance. Then, it must push above the $18.66 level, which represents secondary resistance. Once Silver passes the $18.66 level, the last leg higher will attempt to break the $21.22 level and push up into new recent highs (higher than the 2016 highs).
We believe the current US Presidential election cycle will be full of twists and turns – most of which will be very public and explosive. We believe this election cycle will create a certain level of fear in the markets that are above and beyond what we have seen over the past 15+ months. In a method that is very similar to what happened in 2016, the public will become entrenched in the election cycle process and the global economy may suffer slightly as the political shenanigans continue to play out on our TVs, newspapers and web browsers.
The October/December 2018 lows were, most likely, the lowest price levels we will see going forward. Additionally, the current price levels, below $15 per ounce, may be the last time we’ll have the opportunity to see prices this low in a number of years. Our price modeling is suggesting that Silver and Gold will begin a Momentum Base Rally from these lows that may last many years.
If you want to know when we get long Silver next be sure to join our Wealth Trading Newsletter and get our trading signals. In fact, we are giving away and shipping FREE Silver rounds for select membership levels for the next few days.
Chris Vermeulen
Since 2001 I have been refining my index trading skills and strategies in the hope that one day I would provide a steady stream of trades and income and possibly even be able to automate the trading for me.
Now, 18 years later I have made most of these dreams/goals come true with a robust trading system that makes trading momentum drops and pops, swing trading, and trend following really simple. While it’s not 100% complete, and likely never will be as I’m always working on adapting things work with the everchanging markets, it is something I’m really proud of and excited to share with fellow traders. Over the next month or so I will be pushing to get this new application running for members to watch and receive the trade alerts.
Take a look at this year’s chart of the system which really is incredible, but the rally the market is experiencing is also not the norm in terms of price action.
The next chart shows the most recent trade taken this Thursday and the first momentum trade target was hit in less than 24 hours for a quick 2.5% profit on the SP500.
To make things even more exciting this strategy works well with high momentum stocks and the most recent trade we took on CPRX we locked in 10% from our entry price as shown below.
I am about to launch a new technology product to assist our members like this one explained above, where we can highlight our proprietary price modeling systems complete with all the trade signals (entry, stops, targets). This added analysis and trade signals are bonus value added for our loyal followers.
If you want to stay ahead of these markets moves and find greater success in 2019 and beyond, then Join www.TheTechnicalTraders.com today.
EXTRA UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY
First, we typically see stocks sell-off and as the old saying goes, “Sell in May and Go Away!”
So what does this mean? It means we should start to see money flow into the safe-haven assets like the Utility sector, bonds, and most importantly precious metals.
Second, my birthday is this month, and I think its time I open the doors for a once a year opportunity for everyone to get a gift that could have some considerable value in the future.
For May I am going to give away and ship out silver rounds to anyone who buys a 1-year, or 2-year subscription to my Wealth Trading Newsletter for the first 25 subscribers. You can upgrade to this longer-term subscription or if you are new, join one of these two plans, and you will receive:
1-Year Subscription Gets One 1oz Silver Round FREE
(Could be worth hundreds of dollars)
2-Year Subscription Gets TWO 1oz Silver Rounds FREE
(Could be worth a lot in the future)
I only have 25 silver rounds I’m giving away
so upgrade or join now before its too late!
SUBSCRIBE TO MY TRADE ALERTS AND GET YOUR FREE SILVER ROUNDS!
Happy May Everyone!
Chris Vermeulen
One of the most important things about making calls about any future price movement is to have confidence in your research team and systems. The second most important thing is to make these calls public so everyone can see if you were right or wrong about your predictions. Predicting the future, often many months in advance, is not an easy task. We like to ask people, how many people do you know that can predict something in the future, almost to the exact day, and find they were accurate more often than being wrong?
Well, this is the time we’ll see if our predictions are accurate or not. Back in October 2018, we issued a research post indicating that Gold would rally above $1300, then stall, then set up a momentum base between $1260 and $1275 near mid-April or early May. Here is a link to that public post: https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/45-days-until-a-multi-year-breakout-for-precious-metals/
In February/March 2019, our research team honed in on the April 21~24 dates as a key cycle date for a very likely momentum bottom setup. You can read our research here. We believe these dates will be key to the future rally in Gold and they may very well be the last time we see sub-$1300 price levels for a while, but gold does need to reverse to the upside this week.
Currently, Gold is trading at $1278.10 with a recent low at $1273. Remember our original prediction that the momentum base would likely setup between $1260 and $1275? Right now, we believe this Momentum base is setting up exactly as we predicted back in October 2018 – over 6 months ago.
As we continue to watch this Momentum Base setup play out, we urge skilled traders to watch the outlying symbols for signs of confirmation and validation. The news about the Iran Oil Sanctions, today, may become a key element going forward – but it is too early to tell right now. We believe some global economic event will drive prices of Gold much higher over the next 30+ days.
Gold has moved lower over the past 30+ days from the $1340 level down to near the $1270 level – just as we predicted as well. The timing of this recent downswing in price is perfect for our April 21~24 Momentum Base call. We do believe there is still a chance that a $1255 to $1260 level may be seen this week or next. The Momentum Bottom/Basing formation may form over a 7 to 10+ day range. So, pay attention to these opportunities in Gold over the next few days and weeks.
NUGT (3x gold miners bull ETF) continues to fall as Gold Bases. In fact, NUGT has fallen to levels that we have not seen since January 2019. The reality of the matter is that NUGT may be the best confirmation tool/symbol we have right now for timing the end of our Momentum Base in Gold. When NUGT rotates higher and forms the base, it will very likely mark the end of weaker prices for the entire precious metals sector and the beginning of the upside price rally we have been predicting.
As our research team likes to state – this is “do or die” time with regards to our predictions from many months ago. We’ve stuck by them for months, telling anyone who would listen this setup would be the last time you see sub-$1300 levels in Gold for many months – possibly years. If our analysis is correct, we suggest you pay attention to these symbols and lower Gold price levels right now. Once this move begins to rally, it could take the markets by surprise.
Our expectations are that by mid-May, or so, we should already be in an upside price swing that should be targeting the $1450 to $1550 level. This means we have about 7 to 15 trading days until we start to see some real upside price move in precious metals.
We should remind you that gold needs to find a bottom this week and price could become choppy and volatile.
Get ready and follow our research. How many other research firms do you know that are capable of calling the markets 6+ months in advance with this type of accuracy?
Please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades for your future.
Chris Vermeulen