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Platinum Breaks $1000 On Big Rally And What is Next

Certain precious metals, Gold, Silver, and Platinum, have shown moderate upside price trending over the past 20+ months while Rhodium and Palladium have skyrocketed higher.  These more precious metals, Rhodium and Palladium, have many industrial and consumer uses.  Rhodium is used in electronics and plating and Palladium is used in a variety of consumer products from Automobiles to Medical Devices.

Still, the rally in Rhodium (over 300%) and Palladium (over 70%) over the past 12 months has been more than impressive.  Whey are we not seeing a similar rally in Gold, Silver, and Platinum yet?

The reality is that we are seeing a similar price rally in Rhodium and Platinum as we saw in 2004~2008 – just prior to the Global Credit Crisis.  Take a look at the composite chart below.

There are few interesting components of these charts that show how precious metals reacted throughout the 1997~2000 rally and the 2005~2008 rally – both of these events set up a bubble burst reversion event.

_  Rhodium rallied extensively in 2005 through 2008 – peaking at levels near $10,000 just before the credit crisis bubble burst.

_  Palladium rallied a moderate amount in 2005 through 2007, then sold off as the bubble burst.  Then rallied to over $800 after fear set into the markets.

_  Platinum began a rally in early 2000 that propelled it to a peak in 2007 (just before the peak in the US stock market).  Since then wild price rotation and a moderate reversion to levels near $1000 have set up a massive basing pattern.

_  Gold, like Platinum, began an incredible upside price rally in early 2000 and continued to rally till the peak in 2010

_  Palladium, being an industrial use metal and being deployed in a variety of advanced technology, would tend to rally as demand for technology products and consumer products associated with Palladium components are in very high demand.  Much like what happened in 1998~2000.

_  Rhodium’s rally is very likely related to manufacturing and institutional demand across the globe.

_  Platinum and Gold may be set up for an incredible upside price rally should Rhodium and Palladium extend their rallies even further.

_  We find it incredibly fascinating that Rhodium rallied nearly 1000% from 2004 to 2009 – just before the peak in the global stock markets and the start of the Global Credit Crisis.

_  We also find it incredibly interesting that Palladium rallied over 1000% from 1995 to 1999 – just before the DOT COM bubble burst.

_  We believe the rallies in Rhodium and Palladium are early warning signs that can’t be overlooked by skilled traders/investors.

The recent upside breakout of Platinum falls into the same category as the late 1998 Platinum rally as the valuations of the DOT COM rally began to overextend.  We believe this shift into high-value risk protection began to take place as investor’s fear levels increased in the late 1990s.  As we suggested recently – a shifting of the undercurrents in the markets.

The current rally above $1000 in Platinum suggests a new upside price rally is taking place after an extensive basing pattern (2015 to now).  Should Platinum rally above $1200 per ounce, a new technical bullish trend will be confirmed.

Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting price targets on the Weekly chart of $1090, $1130 and $1215.  Pay very close attention to this rally in Platinum as it could become the catalyst for a much bigger move in many of the major precious metals.  The Platinum rally in 1997 began an upward price advance of nearly 600% over the next 10 years.  A similar move today would put Platinum near $6000~$7000 – Gold would be near $3200+ should this happen.

Our belief is that the rally in Platinum will continue as valuations in the global markets push higher.  Fear is creeping back into the markets as investors are expecting some type of price reversion event.  We believe the current setup is very similar to a mix of the events we’ve highlighted in the composite metals chart, above.  A mix of what happened in 1995~1997 and a mix of what happened in 2005~2007.  Platinum and Gold are acting very similar to what happened in 1995~1997.  Palladium and Rhodium are a mix of 1995~1997 and 2005~2007.  Overall, the rallies in Rhodium and Palladium are strangely similar to “peak everything” bubbles.

Watch how this plays out over the next 12+ months.  Gold and Silver should begin to move higher as Platinum extends the rally.  Fear is starting to re-enter the markets as traders and investors extend their belief that a reversion event is setting up.

Join my Wealth Building Newsletter if you like what you read here and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.  Visit our web site (www.thetechnicaltraders.com) to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.

Silver Traders Big Trend Analysis – Part 2

This, the second part of our Silver research article suggesting Silver may be forming a massive price base in preparation for an explosive upside move, will continue from Part I of this research series.

Our research team believes Silver is setting up in a price pattern that may already be “ripe” for an explosive upside move.  Our researchers have poured over the data and believe the disparity between Gold and Silver is already at excessive levels.

Historically, anytime the disparity between Gold prices and Silver prices (rationalized into comparative Gold price levels) breaches 30% to 60% and Gold begins an upside price advance, Silver typically begins to move higher with 4 to 8+ months.  This setup pushes the Gold to Silver ratio back below 50 or 60 as Silver rallies substantially higher, and faster than the price of Gold.

Comparatively, Silver continues to trade within a sideways price range after basing in early 2016.  This price range has been fairly consistent between $14.50 and $21.0.  With Gold recently starting to move higher because of the US/Iran military conflict, this raises an early warning flag for our research team because Silver has continued to trade below $18 – and well below recent highs near $20.

The price disparity between Gold and Silver is currently greater than 200% based on our proprietary modeling system.  Remember, anytime this disparity level is greater than 30% to 60% and Gold breaks out in a rally, Silver will break to the upside within just a few months.

The second stage rally in Silver, the real money-maker, will come when investors pile into Silver and Silver Miners as the breakout in Silver becomes explosive.  The time to get into this trade is/was now or 4 months ago.  Still, there is plenty of opportunity for skilled traders right now because the breakout move in Silver and Silver Miners has not really begun yet.

The first big upside move in Silver and Miners will be to attempt to move higher and target recent resistance.  Resistance in Silver is currently near $19.70 and $21.00.  This means any move above $19.75 (or higher) where the price of Silver fails to move above $22 or $23 would constitute a “Stage 1 Base Advancement”.

After this move is complete, a “Breakout Stage” price move will take place.  This may be where Silver prices advance from the $21 to $23 level up towards the $28 to $32 price level.  This upside price advance breaches the Stage 1 resistance and attempts to establish new support for a continued Stage 2 advance.

Remember, the current disparity level is just over 200% between Gold and Silver.  If Gold continues to rally higher and Silver attempts to break higher, attempting to narrow the disparity level, then Silver will (at some point) enter a near parabolic upside price move above $36 to $40.  Our researchers believe this may happen before June or July 2020.

This incredible opportunity is currently setting up for skilled traders.  Believe it or not, while Silver continues to trade below $18 per ounce and global investors are focusing on US stocks, Emerging Markets, and Gold, Palladium and others, this setup in Silver may become the biggest investment opportunity of 2020.  Sure, Gold may rally 80% to 140% over the next 12 to 24 months.  Palladium may rally even higher.  If Silver does what we expect it to do once this setup/trigger really breaks open, Silver could rally 500%+ over 12 to 24+ months on an incredible upside disparity reversion move.

This last chart highlights why we believe this setup in Silver should not be ignored.  In 2005, the rally in Silver as a result of this Disparity trigger resulted in Silver reaching a 38% higher peak than Gold.  In 2009, the same Disparity trigger prompted Silver to rally to levels nearly 300% higher than the peak in Gold prices.  If Gold rallies to levels above $2800 to $3100, which is our expectation, and this Disparity trigger prompts an upside move in Silver, we believe Silver could rally to levels 200% to 400% (or more) higher than Gold prices.  By our estimates, that would put Silver prices above $90 to $95 per ounce – possibly much higher.

Take advantage of any opportunity you have to position your portfolio for this setup and be patient.  The upside breakout in Silver happens like a train leaving the station.  Slow and steady at first, then building momentum, then finally running at top speed.  Each time this Disparity trigger sets up and executes, Silver starts a moderate move higher at first, then explodes to the upside as Gold continues to rally higher.  That last explosive move is why Silver reaches peaks that are substantially higher (in percentage terms) than the peaks in Gold.

Please pay attention to our research team’s efforts to help you create greater success and find great trades.  Take a minute to visit Technical Traders Ltd. to learn how we can assist you in 2020 and help you build wealth, attain greater success and stay ahead of these bigger market moves.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997 I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles, I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Join my Wealth Building Newsletter if you like what you read here and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation, or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.  Visit our web site (www.thetechnicaltraders.com) to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.

My Big Trend Analysis For Silver Investor – Part 1

Everyone seems to be focused on Gold recently and seems to be ignoring the real upside potential in Silver.  With all the global economic issues, military tensions, geopolitical issues, and other items continually pushed into the news cycles, it is easy to understand why traders and investors may be ignoring Silver.

Silver has really not started to move like the other precious metals.  Gold is up over 45% since 2016.  Palladium is up over 350% since 2016.  Silver is up only 29% since 2016.  The Gold to Silver ratio is currently at 86.7 – very near to the highest level on record going back over 25 years.

Historically, Silver rallies 6 to 12+ months after Gold begins a price rally.  The big break in the Gold to Silver ratio comes at a time when Gold rallies by more than 30% to 60% faster than the price of Silver.  In other words, when a major disparity sets up in the price of Gold compared to the price of Silver, then Silver explodes higher – which results in a drop in the Gold to Silver ratio.

Currently, the relative price of Gold to Silver is over 200%.  Considering this fact and considering the under-performance of Silver recently, our researchers believe Silver is setting up a massive basing pattern in preparation for an explosive upside move.

Our research team put together this chart to help illustrate the real upside potential in Silver.  This Monthly chart highlights the Gold to the Silver ratio (Darker BLUE), the price of Gold (Gold) and the price of Silver (light BLUE) over the past 20 years.

Every time Gold broke a sideways Flag formation and began to rally substantially higher, Silver followed Gold higher 5 to 12 months after with an incredible upside price rally.  In 2005, Silver rallied over 100%.  In 2009, Silver rallied almost 400%.  Now, in 2020, could Silver rally 100%, 200%, 300% or more?

In the recent past, we’ve authored numerous articles about Gold, Silver and precious metals highlighting our expectations going forward.  Our incredible research from October 8, 2018, floored many institutional traders and researchers because we were able to accurately predict the future price moves in Gold 9+ months into the future.  Take a little time to read some of our earlier research posts

Metals & Miners Prepare for 2020 Liftoff – https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/metals-miners-prepare-for-an-early-2020-liftoff/

ADL Trading System Confirms Gold Targets – https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/adl-gold-prediction-confirms-targets/

VIX Is Set to Spike And What It Means for Gold – https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/metals-vix-are-set-to-launch-dramatically-higher/

We believe the current setup in Gold and Silver is almost identical to previous setups where Gold rallied on economic or global concerns, prompting a massive disparity ratio between Gold and Silver.  We believe Silver is setting up in a massive basing pattern that may be an incredible opportunity for skilled traders.

In Part II of this research post, we’ll highlight why we believe all skilled traders and investors should be paying very close attention to the metals markets, Miners and, in particular, Silver.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997 I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles, I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

I urge you visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Nominal New Highs Reached, Skilled Traders Should Still Be Cautious

The US Stock market rallied on Friday, October 25, on TESLA earnings crushing expectations as well as news that any positive US trade deal outcomes could see almost immediate removal of future tariffs that are scheduled to be implemented near the end of October.  This was enough for the markets to rally from the start of trading and continue to push higher until near Noon in NY.  After new highs were reached, the markets contracted a bit headed into the close.

Gold shot up early this morning before the news related to the US trade deal hit.  Our opinion is that this is a natural advancement in precious metals that is not new related or muted by some external factors.  Precious metals have been setting up a sideways FLAG formation for over 2 months and we believe the apex/breakout move is near.

Oil was somewhat flat to close out the week and closed trading near $56.63.  The past three days we have seen oil rise from the $53 level to the current price levels, but we believe oil is still fundamentally oversupplied and that price will continue to weaken over time.

The real question before all of us right now is will this new nominal high represent a new breakout bullish price trend heading into a US Presidential Election cycle, or is this more price rotation within a defined price range?

If you consider all the shifting aspects of the US political and economic landscape as well as the current geopolitical and economic factors, we believe any real breakout move will come as we get closer to November 2020 – not now.  We believe this is still price rotation and we believe the NQ is the likely cause of this new nominal price high on Friday.  Tesla crushed earnings and that set a positive tone for Friday’s trading.

TRANSPORTATION INDEX DAILY CHART

The TRAN, Transportation Index, is still trading near current resistance and has not shown any true new price high yet.  It will be interesting to see how the markets open up early next week and what news may drive a new price trend by then.

MID-CAP SECTOR DAILY CHART

The Mid-Cap has failed to rally to recent price highs which suggest this is not a broad market rally.  We would want to see more defined price advancement across all sectors and above recent price highs to call this a broad market rally/breakout

Pay attention to the new that originates this weekend.  We don’t believe a deal will be reached with regards to trade as quickly as some others may believe and we still believe the next 12+ months of the US Presidential election cycle will be full of surprises.  We may start to get more clarity of a true price trend after the New Year (2020).  Until then, we’re staying cautious of these price rotations and picking our trades.

I urge you visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Bar!

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. A gentleman by the name of Brad Matheny goes into great detail with his simple to understand charts and guide about this. His financial market research is one of a kind and a real eye-opener. PDF guide: 2020 Cycles – The Greatest Opportunity Of Your Lifetime

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

The Divergence of Gold And Bitcoin – Which Represents A True Safe-Haven?

Recently, Mark Zuckerberg appeared before the US Congress to discuss his new Libra project and to attempt to calm concerns related to his new global alternate currency project.  It appears this project is putting global political leaders in a particularly powerful position of either accepting the Libra project as a viable future solution and implementing new laws and regulations in support of it or to shelve the idea while they consider the local and global risks associated with a project that creates a new class of global currency. (Source: https://www.bloomberg.com)

We believe the risks associated with a massive corporate and international backed Crypto/Alternate currency are far too great, at this time, for the US government to attempt to consider with only 12+ months to go before the US Presidential elections.  This is almost like opening Pandora’s Box in terms of total global risks and outcomes.  It becomes almost impossible for the US government, Federal Reserve or any other global central bank to be able to protect its citizens from the risks associated with any type of technology collapse, fraud, hacking or any other unknown risks associated with such an idea.

The concept of a “Safe-Haven” may come into question over the next 10+ months as investors continue to question what may happen in the global markets, global political events and asset valuations related to Cryptos, Precious Metals, and foreign currencies.  Our researchers believe mature economy currencies will quickly become new currency Safe-Havens for global investors over the next 10+ months as banking, credit and economic risks continue to shake out weaker markets.

Cryptos may see some support as price rotates over the next 10+ months prior to the US Presidential elections, yet we believe the real global asset markets (stocks, currencies, debt/credit, and bonds) will take center stage as the world transitions through a very tumultuous period prior to the November 2020 US elections.  Even for a period of time shortly after the US elections, global assets will continue to reposition as future economic and regional asset value expectations shift.

There is a very real potential that global investors continue to seek safety and liquidity in the global major markets, economies and global currencies.  Additionally, Precious Metals continue to show very little signs of weakening over the past 12+ months.

In fact, Precious Metals have continued to stay much stronger than many other investments over the past few years.  Gold is up +17.60% from October 2017.  Palladium is up 78.81% since October 2017. Silver is up 4.9% over that same period of time.  Once the next upside price leg begins in Precious Metals, we may see a massive price increase in Gold and Silver.  Supply issues continue to push Palladium prices higher as well.

Imagine being able to trade the precious metals sector easily with little downside risk and only being involved during the rallies and not the selloffs, all while generating 2x the return that GDXJ has return in 2019. Take a look at this trading strategy here.

Gold is setting up in a manner that is very similar to what happened in April 2019 – a sideways momentum base pattern that eventually broke to the upside in early June 2019.  Once that move higher began to take place, the continued move to the upside was very quick and extensive.  We believe the next upside move in Gold and Silver will be very similar – a moderately slow rotation out of the momentum base, then a fast acceleration to the upside as global investors realize the shift to safety has begun again.

We believe Cryptos may be left on the sidelines as investors prefer more traditional assets as a measure of safety as global concerns continue to weigh on investor’s minds headed into a very contentious US presidential election.  Currencies, Metals, Mature global market assets and true value stocks may become the investment of choice until we see some real clarity for the future from the global markets, global central banks, and global political leaders.

I urge you visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Bar!

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. A gentleman by the name of Brad Matheny goes into great detail with his simple to understand charts and guide about this. His financial market research is one of a kind and a real eye-opener. PDF guide: 2020 Cycles – The Greatest Opportunity Of Your Lifetime

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Gold Cycle Forecast Signals Bottom Is Near

It is absolutely amazing how the precious metals markets have followed our October 2018 predictions almost like clockwork.  Our call for an April 21~24 momentum base below $1300 followed by an extensive rally to levels above $1550 has been playing out almost like we scripted these future price moves.

Now that the $1550 level has been reached, we are expecting a rotation to levels that may reach just below the $1450 level before attempting to set up another momentum base/bottom formation.  And just like clockwork, Gold has followed our predictions and price is falling as we expected. Just look at our October 2018 chart where we forecasted the price of gold rallies and corrections along the way.

GOLD FORECAST & IS THE DEBT CRISIS ABOUT TO BE REBORN IN 2020?
https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/is-the-debt-crisis-about-to-be-reborn-in-2020/

GOLD CYCLE FORECAST – DAILY CHART

Take a look at the most active cycles for gold and where our gold forecast is pointing to next. The downside rotation currently in Gold is likely not quite over yet and the gold mines will selloff the most.  This new momentum base should setup and complete once the gold cycles bottom.  The next upside price leg should push Gold well above the $1760~1780 level – so get ready for another big rally of 20%+.

GOLD MINERS SELL OFF – DAILY CHART

Unfortunately, so many traders are highly emotional and fall in love with positions in shiny metals or gold miner stock positions. Yet we all know if you trade on emotions or fall in love with a position, you are most likely to lose a ton of money. Two weeks ago I got so much flack from traders when I said gold miners were on the verge of a violent drop in price, then the bottom fell out and the dropped huge. Then last Thursday morning when gold, silver, and miners are trading up huge in pre-market and at the opening bell I warned it looked like a big fakeout and price could collapse for yet a second leg down and the same response from those emotional traders who love their positions and won’t sell them when they should as active traders.

HAVE YOU OUTPERFORMED GDXJ THIS YEAR?

If you like to trade in the precious metals sector then you most likely love to trade the gold miners ETF GDXJ. As you can see above GDXJ is only up 19.55% year to date. Sure, it’s a nice gain, but are you still holding your metals position knowing you just gave back most or all of your profits?

Being a technical analyst my focus is to only enter a position when the charts/analysis point to an immediate price advance or decline. I site in cash waiting for the next cycle top or bottom to form in an asset class like gold miners, gold, silver, or silver miners, and once the cycle starts I jump on the wave and ride it for the move until it shows signs that its weakening and will break. almost 50% of the year my portfolio is sitting in cash. And my average position only lasts around 12 days.

Take a look at all my precious metals related trades this year (2019) below. They are all winners, and total gain for subscribers of my Wealth Building Newsletter is 41.74% profit. More than double the return than if you were riding the GDXJ roller coaster for 9 months straight and all your money at risk.

My point here is that no matter how much you love metals (and I LOVE METALS), but you do not need to always be in a position in them. There are times to own, and times to watch with your money safely in cash.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

The end result is that the fear and greed that is starting to show up in the precious metals markets may become an “unruly beast” if it continues to grow in strength and velocity.

Keep reading our research because our proprietary tools have been nailing all of these price targets and moves many months in advance.  The next bottom in metals should set up when our cycle bottoms – then the next upside leg will begin.  This time Gold should target $1800 and Silver should target $21 to $24.  This will be an incredible move higher if it plays out as we suspect.

I urge you visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Bar!

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. A gentleman by the name of Brad Matheny goes into great detail with his simple to understand charts and guide about this. His financial market research is one of a kind and a real eye-opener. PDF guide: 2020 Cycles – The Greatest Opportunity Of Your Lifetime

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Gold Gifts Traders With Another Rotation Below $1500

Positive expectations related to the US/China trades negotiations on October 10th prompted a moderately strong upside move in the US major indexes and the stock market.

Additionally, the precious metals fell in correlation to the upside move in the US stock market and presented another opportunity for skilled technical traders to look for entries below $1500 in Gold and below $17.75 in Silver.

We can’t stress the importance of this critical $1500 price level in Gold as a key level for all traders to watch.  It has continued to provide key support for Gold since the price rally that initiated in late April 2019.  We believe this level will act as a relatively strong price “floor” going forward and any price activity below $1500 could represent a very opportunistic entry area for skilled traders.

Back in early September, we authored this research post highlighting what we believed would happen going forward 30 to 60+ days for Gold.  At that time, the price of Gold has just rallied above $1500 for the first time in 2019.

We alerted our followers that we believed Gold would stall near the $1550 level, move briefly towards the $1475 to $1500 level, set up a new momentum base near the $1500 price level and begin a new rally soon after this base was complete.  You can read this research post here: https://www.thetechnicaltraders.com/global-market-chaos-means-precious-metals-will-continue-to-rise/ .

GOLD WEEKLY CHART FROM OUR SEPTEMBER 2ND RESEARCH POST

This is a Gold Weekly chart from that September 2 research post.  We still believe our research from that post is accurate and we believe this new move below $1500 is an incredible opportunity for skilled traders that understand the real potential of the future of precious metals.

120 MINUTE GOLD CHART SHOWING PRICE CORRECTION WARNING BEFORE IT HAPPENED

This 120 Minute Gold chart showing the early price decline on October 10, 2019 and highlighting the $1500 price support zone in RED illustrates how price has continued to find this level acting as strong support and how price has, in the past, moved through this level and back above it to form the new “momentum base/bottom” near October 1, 2019.

We believe any move below $1500 (or more precisely – $1495) is a very strong entry point.  Obviously, a price move to lower levels would be even better.  Currently, as long as price stays above the Momentum Base level (near $1463), then we consider the October 1 price rotation the true momentum base “low”.

CURRENT DAILY CHART OF GOLD – SUPPORT ZONE, AND FORECAST

This Daily chart highlights the same $1500 price support zone and clearly illustrates why we believe any price move below $1500 is a very strong opportunity for skilled traders.  The next leg in Gold should push prices above $1700 (possibly higher).  Longer-term, we believe the fear and uncertainty in the global markets will not subside until well after the 2020 US Presidential election cycle completes.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Therefore, we have at least 12 to 16+ months of continued fear driving investor uncertainty in precious metals and as the US political chaos heats up, so will precious metals.  At this point, we believe Gold has just started to “lift-off” in terms of the ultimate upside potential over the longer term.  We’ve discussed the potential of Gold reaching above $3750 and we believe this target level is very valid.

Yesterday I talked about how to trade and where gold, silver and miners were within their bul/bear market cycle which may surprise you. Listen to my thoughts in this Podcast here.

Play these moves accordingly.  This may be the last time you see Gold trading below $1500 for quite a while.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.  Visit our web site to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.

Metals And VIX Are Set To Launch Dramatically Higher

The recent rotation in the US stock market and US major indexes have set up a very interesting pattern in the Metals and VIX charts.  Our researchers believe precious metals, Gold and Silver, are setting up a new momentum base/bottom and are beginning an early stage bullish price rally that may surprise many traders.  If you have not been following our research, please take a minute to read these past research posts :

September 24, 2019: IS SILVER ABOUT TO BECOME THE SUPER-HERO OF PRECIOUS METALS?

September 19, 2019: PRECIOUS METALS SETTING UP ANOTHER MOMENTUM BASE/BOTTOM

Our researchers believe the bottom in Metals has already set up on October 1, 2019.  This setup aligns with our earlier analysis that a new bullish price leg is setting up that will propel Gold to levels above $1600 before the end of November – possibly resulting in a rally that attempts to breach the $1700 price level.

DAILY GOLD CHART

Of course, for Gold to rally in this manner, some type of extended fear must enter the global markets.  We believe this fear could become known to traders within 3 to 10+ days based on our understanding of the schedules and calendars available within the news cycle.  The US/China trade talks appear to be breaking down again.  News that one of India’s largest banks is in the process of collapsing hit last weekend. And news that the US political parties are about to ramp up nearly all levels of activity ahead of the 2020 US Presidential election cycle is sure to throw the markets a few curve-balls.

As skilled technical traders, there are times when we must understand how the news cycles and external events can have dramatic impact on prices and trends in the financial markets.  These are times when we must protect our assets by deploying very skilled trades, proper position sizing and become even more skilled at understanding the global stock market dynamics.

DAILY SILVER CHART

Silver, or as we have termed it “The Super-HERO of Metals”, will likely move much higher, even faster than Gold.  If our research is correct, the next upside price leg in Metals will see Silver rally to levels well above $20, then stall briefly, then begin a move to levels above $26 (or higher).  The Gold to Silver ratio will likely fall to levels near 65 throughout this move.  That would mean that Silver would appreciate about 11% to 15% faster than Gold will appreciate over the next 60 to 90+ days.

VIX – DAILY VOLATILITY INDEX CHART

And finally, the VIX.  At this point, our research team believes a broader downside price rotation has already begun to set up in the US stock market (with Technology and “unicorn” sectors at severe risk) which may prompt a move in prices to retest the December 2018 lows.  This is why we believe the VIX is very likely to begin an upside price move over the next 30 to 60+ days and attempt to break above the 26 to 27 level as the US stock market reacts to increased fear and uncertainty.  This is, obviously, also why we believe Gold and Silver will begin to move dramatically higher very quickly.

September 17, 2019: VIX TO BEGIN A NEW UPTREND AND WHAT IT MEANS

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Our researchers are attempting to follow all the news and price activity we can handle over the past 4+ weeks or longer.  At this point, it seems all the global markets are unstable in terms of price trends, extended volatility, and uncertainty.  We believe our expectations within the metals markets, us stock market and the VIX predictions are relatively saved expectations given the research we’ve completed.

It would be wise for skilled traders to prepare for a moderate to deep price correction at this point.  Price has failed to move higher above historic all-time high price levels and has begun to move lower.  Unless some extremely positive news, event or outcome is reached within the next 90+ days, it is very likely that price will continue to rotate within established ranges attempting to identify true support levels.  This ride could become very volatile – very quickly.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. My simple technical trading strategy using ETFs will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it so you never get caught on the wrong side of the market with big losses.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.  Visit our web site to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.