Posts

The recent rotation in the US stock market and US major indexes have set up a very interesting pattern in the Metals and VIX charts.  Our researchers believe precious metals, Gold and Silver, are setting up a new momentum base/bottom and are beginning an early stage bullish price rally that may surprise many traders.  If you have not been following our research, please take a minute to read these past research posts :

September 24, 2019: IS SILVER ABOUT TO BECOME THE SUPER-HERO OF PRECIOUS METALS?

September 19, 2019: PRECIOUS METALS SETTING UP ANOTHER MOMENTUM BASE/BOTTOM

Our researchers believe the bottom in Metals has already set up on October 1, 2019.  This setup aligns with our earlier analysis that a new bullish price leg is setting up that will propel Gold to levels above $1600 before the end of November – possibly resulting in a rally that attempts to breach the $1700 price level.

DAILY GOLD CHART

Of course, for Gold to rally in this manner, some type of extended fear must enter the global markets.  We believe this fear could become known to traders within 3 to 10+ days based on our understanding of the schedules and calendars available within the news cycle.  The US/China trade talks appear to be breaking down again.  News that one of India’s largest banks is in the process of collapsing hit last weekend. And news that the US political parties are about to ramp up nearly all levels of activity ahead of the 2020 US Presidential election cycle is sure to throw the markets a few curve-balls.

As skilled technical traders, there are times when we must understand how the news cycles and external events can have dramatic impact on prices and trends in the financial markets.  These are times when we must protect our assets by deploying very skilled trades, proper position sizing and become even more skilled at understanding the global stock market dynamics.

DAILY SILVER CHART

Silver, or as we have termed it “The Super-HERO of Metals”, will likely move much higher, even faster than Gold.  If our research is correct, the next upside price leg in Metals will see Silver rally to levels well above $20, then stall briefly, then begin a move to levels above $26 (or higher).  The Gold to Silver ratio will likely fall to levels near 65 throughout this move.  That would mean that Silver would appreciate about 11% to 15% faster than Gold will appreciate over the next 60 to 90+ days.

VIX – DAILY VOLATILITY INDEX CHART

And finally, the VIX.  At this point, our research team believes a broader downside price rotation has already begun to set up in the US stock market (with Technology and “unicorn” sectors at severe risk) which may prompt a move in prices to retest the December 2018 lows.  This is why we believe the VIX is very likely to begin an upside price move over the next 30 to 60+ days and attempt to break above the 26 to 27 level as the US stock market reacts to increased fear and uncertainty.  This is, obviously, also why we believe Gold and Silver will begin to move dramatically higher very quickly.

September 17, 2019: VIX TO BEGIN A NEW UPTREND AND WHAT IT MEANS

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Our researchers are attempting to follow all the news and price activity we can handle over the past 4+ weeks or longer.  At this point, it seems all the global markets are unstable in terms of price trends, extended volatility, and uncertainty.  We believe our expectations within the metals markets, us stock market and the VIX predictions are relatively saved expectations given the research we’ve completed.

It would be wise for skilled traders to prepare for a moderate to deep price correction at this point.  Price has failed to move higher above historic all-time high price levels and has begun to move lower.  Unless some extremely positive news, event or outcome is reached within the next 90+ days, it is very likely that price will continue to rotate within established ranges attempting to identify true support levels.  This ride could become very volatile – very quickly.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. My simple technical trading strategy using ETFs will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it so you never get caught on the wrong side of the market with big losses.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.  Visit our web site to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.

Our researchers believe the global concerns centered around Banking and Debt within the Emerging Markets and Asia/Europe are very likely to become major issues over the next 3+ months.  These potentially dangerous issues could have far-reaching pricing ramifications for almost all of the world’s financial markets.  This weekend, we received first-hand information from an associate in Hong Kong about banks limiting ATM withdrawals and very limited transportation services.  Our source stated the biggest issue was the lack of transportation right now.

We also followed the news of the Bank collapse in India this weekend and the aftermath for Indian banking customers – PMC Bank

Many of you remember how the US credit crisis event started in a similar manner.  First, it is news of a few select financial institutions or lenders that are in trouble.  This sends a shock-wave throughout the populous – they react by becoming more “protectionist” in their actions.  Sometimes, small bank runs can happen as consumers want to have more cash on hand instead of “in the bank”.  Next, the local economic metrics start to fall – almost like a self-fulfilling nightmare, the consumers, acting to protect their interests and assets, are now pushing the local economy over the edge and the banks, possibly, over the breaking point in terms of Non-Performing Loans.

This time, as we have detailed in our previous research posts, we believe the crux of the credit problems is related to how emerging markets and foreign markets took advantage of the cheap US dollar between 2011 and 2015.  At that time, it was cheaper for banks to borrow the US Dollar than it was for them to borrow money from their own local central banks.  Thus, many went out seeking to borrow as much US Dollar as they could because it provided an opportunity to save on interest fees.  Now, as the global economy continues to contract in a “stagflation” type of manner, it becomes even harder for many of these firms, banks, and individuals to service their debt.

We believe the global markets and the US stock market are waiting for news before initiating any new price trends.  We believe the recent US manufacturing number is indicative of the type of economic output values we can expect over the next 30+ days.  Unless the US Christmas season starts off with a big spending spree or the US/China trade issue is resolved and settled within 30+ days, we believe the markets will continue to search for and identify “true price value” by seeking out true support before attempting to move higher again.

Our morning coffee video analysis recap is the one thing… that single investment that’s going to turn into the greatest thing you’ve ever made for your trading and investment accounts.

S&P 500 DAILY CHART

This ES Daily chart highlights the recent resistance, triple-top formation, near 3025.  It is clearly obvious that this 3025 level is a very strong price resistance level.  Below this ceiling, we have multiple support levels to watch.  2875 is highlighted in MAGENTA and is one that we believe is the most critical right now.  Below that, the Moving Average level, currently at 2845, could also provide some support.  Below these two, we suspect the 2700 level is the only level of support left before we could experience a much bigger price breakdown.

DOW JONES DAILY CHART

This YM Daily chart sets up a similar type of price pattern.  In fact, they are almost identical.  Again, the current downside price rotation has already established new recent price lows.  The RED resistance channel we drew across the tops should provide some real level of a price ceiling within this trend.  Our concern is that price will attempt a further breakdown without any positive news to extend a positive perspective for the US markets future.  There is just too much uncertainty in the world for investors to have the confidence to push prices higher.  The most logical transition would be for price to “reset” by rotating lower, finding true price value levels and establishing a new price bottom to begin a new rally from.

DOW JONES 2-WEEK CHART

This 2-Weekly YM Chart highlights exactly why we believe skilled technical traders need to be cautious right now and why having a very skilled team of researchers is important.  This is not the time to go ALL-IN on any trades.  This is not the time to roll your retirement account into HIGH-RISK funds.  We suggest being very cautious at the moment and to prepare for any downside rotation by scaling back your trading account to 70 to 80% CASH.  Deploying only about 20 to 25% into the markets right now.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

It is funny how real traders understand the value of having a skilled team of dedicated technical and fundamental researchers assisting them at times like this.  While other people freak out and turn into “super protectionist traders”.  The reality of these types of markets is that they are the best markets for traders.  Price swings are larger, opportunities are setting up nearly everywhere and skilled traders can attempt to make 45%, 65%, 85% or more within a very short time-frame.  Not like the regular market moves of 3~5% annually in the SPY.  This is the time when you want to become more attentive and active in the markets – with the right team.

Opportunities are setting up EVERYWHERE and will continue to present very clear trade setups over the next 16+ months.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. My simple technical trading strategy using ETFs will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it so you never get caught on the wrong side of the market with big losses.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.  Visit our web site to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.

Chris Vermuelen, Founder of The Technical Traders joins Cory Fleck to look at the charts for oil, gold and the US markets. While all are trending in very different directions the US markets are closing in on a very important level that if broken could be very bad for risk on investors. Also of note that oil has given back all the gains since the Saudi oilfields bombing.

Note – This interview was recorded Wednesday Oct 2nd late in the day.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar and SPECIAL OFFER TODAY ONLY – CLICK HERE

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. This quick and simple to understand guide on trading with technical analysis will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it. Never be caught on the wrong side of the market again and suffer big losses. PDF guide: Technical Trading Mastery

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Our research team has been all over this longer-term Pennant/Flag setup and the potential for the breakdown in the US/Global markets.  The US manufacturing data released today confirmed what we believed would be the outcome of the extended trade issues between the US and China – a moderate slowdown in US manufacturing.  Couple that with a US Fed that is attempting to navigate very difficult economic developments, consumers headed into the Christmas season unsure of what lies ahead, the US political environment (almost complete chaos) and uncertainties with foreign markets and we have a perfect setup for “investor malaise”.

This is something we last saw after 9/11 and even earlier in 1990 when the US invaded Kuwait.  With each of these events, consumers and investors entered a phase of moderate indifference/malaise in terms of attention put towards global economics and investing as well as a general unwillingness to actively engage in anything related to investing and finance related.  It appeared that consumers and investors were just busy taking care of their lives, families, jobs and watching the “news cycle” as it seemed every evening something new hit the news-cycles to distract from the markets.

If this is the case with the new Impeachment proceedings, the US Presidential election event (2020) and geopolitical trade/finance issues in today’s markets, then we may be entering a period where capital will continue to shift into safe-havens, protective stocks (DOW and dividend-paying stocks) and attempt to shun the high-flying, high-risk technology, Biotech and heavy-equipment and other stocks that rely on a booming global economy.  We have about 13 months to go before the November 2020 US Presidential elections and it appears we have a dramatically changing economic environment ahead of us.

If this downward price move continues as we expect, capital will move away from risk factors and into safe-havens, bonds, and blue-chip stocks as a method of protecting against valuation risks.  The NASDAQ and technology stocks could get crushed while the VIX index rockets higher. The smart money index and the price reversion look to be starting now and we explained it much more detail in this article.

S&P 500 (ES) DAILY CHART

This ES Daily chart highlights the new lower low produced by the downside price move on October 1.  This new low confirms the bearish trend is currently dominating the direction and suggests price may attempt to target the 2880 level (first level of support) before possibly moving lower.  Our researchers believe the ES is likely to fall 5% to 12% over this total downside rotation based on our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system. If this happens then see what we think will happen to the price of the VIX. Thus, retesting August 2019 lows is really going to be a key setup to determine what happens next.

DOW JONES DAILY CHART

This YM Daily chart provides an even more dramatic example of the new price low set up that continues to suggest further downside price action is in our future.  Support near 26000 would be our first target level and ultimate support near 25000 would be our ultimate support level based on recent price rotation.  Ideally, we believe the YM will move towards the 26000 level and find support rather quickly.  Much more quickly than the ES and NQ – as we’ve recently detailed in our ADL predictive modeling research article.

NASDAQ DAILY CHART

Because we believe the NASDAQ and the S&P stocks are more likely to experience a broader price rotation than the Dow Jones stocks, we believe that capital will begin a very dramatic and dedicate shift away from risk over the next 2 to 3+ weeks.  This would suggest that certain S&P and Dow stocks/sectors could see some support setting up within a 3~5 week span – well before the NASDAQ stocks find any real support.  It also suggests that Metals and Miners are likely to begin another rally higher over the next few weeks/months.

Ultimately, this will result in the VIX rallying much higher, as we suggested near 30+ days ago, and possibly targeting levels above 25 (initially), then possibly 35 as the capital shift extends.  Once capital begins to pour out of risk and into safe-havens, the VIX could rally above 40 on a deep price downturn in the NASDAQ.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

If this downside rotation extended into the global stock market, we may see a much broader rotation of capital throughout the world as risk factors are heightened and credit/debt issues are pushed to the limits for certain foreign nations/corporations.  This is likely to be a “shake-out” moment if the downside price move extends deeply.

Right now, we need to watch how the foreign markets will react to this new and how consumers and corporations address this manufacturing slowdown.  Obviously, everything is not as rosy as one might think given the global trade and economic issues.  But we believe this rotation is very healthy for the markets and if our ADL predictive modeling is correct, the ES and YM will recover near mid-November for a moderate Christmas rally for 2019.  The NASDAQ/technology/Biotech sectors, though, may not be so lucky.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar!

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. This quick and simple to understand guide on trading with technical analysis will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it. Never be caught on the wrong side of the market again and suffer big losses. PDF guide: Technical Trading Mastery

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.

I have just posted our most current trend charts for the stock market and gold miners. As you know money generally rotates between risk-on (stock market) to risk-off (metals, bonds) so it’s important to know when you should shift your money from one asset class to the next.   These trends and swing trade charts which will update daily on our website are second to none (in my opinion), and they are only getting better with time.

GDXJ GOLD MINERS TEND & SIGNALS – SEPT 30

2019 has been a good year for those buying and holding GDXJ which is up 19% year to date, but with these signals for ur entry and exit points in the precious metals sector we are up over 42% alone just for the precious metals plays alone this year.

S&P 500 INDEX TREND & TRADE SIGNALS – SEPT 30

My ETF trading newsletter (Wealth Building Newsletter) is the best of all worlds in terms of analysis, forecasts, swing trades, and trend signals. Think of this Wealth Building Newsletter as a combination of VantagePoints market price prediction software allowing you to know what to expect today/tomorrow ($10,000+ value), PLUS the power of having trend and trade signals similar to VectorVest premium with real-time alerts ($1500 value). The best part is you get all this delivered each morning in one email, and a short 8 minute video telling you JUST what you need to know to profit from the next market move.   No FluffNo Software to Install or LearnNo More Information Overload – Analysis Paralysis   Get my special service limited time offer for only $62 a month when you join our 2yr subscription plan.

By subscribing now, you will save hundreds of dollar a year, plus you get a free gold bar shipped to you. If you wait, its going to cost you more.

Offer ends in 48 hours!

JOIN NOW AN SAVE 30%, LAST CHANCE – CLICK HERE

Chris Vermeulen – Technical Traders Ltd

We wanted to share some information that suggests the NQ (NASDAQ) and ES (S&P 500) may engage in some relatively broad market rotation over the next few weeks. Also, to share that the YM (Dow Industrials) may stay relatively flat throughout this span of time.  Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system is showing somewhere between 8% to 18% or more in price movement.

The fact that our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the ES and NQ may rotate lower over the next few weeks and that the YM may not share the same levels of price volatility suggests that the Dow Industrials (35 stocks) may be viewed as a more solid economic base than the tech-heavy NASDAQ (100 symbols) and the various symbols within the S&P 500 (500 symbols).

It is suggesting that volatility may come from high multiple stocks or stocks that may reflect greater future economic weakness over the next 60+ days.  Almost as if a transition is taking place in the markets where investors are shifting capital away from risk and into value and dividend stocks.

WEEKLY S&P 500 (ES) CHART

This Weekly S&P 500 (ES) chart highlights the ADL predictive modeling results showing the ES should attempt higher price rotation this week, the week ending the month of September, then move dramatically lower over the next 5+ weeks.  Eventually, the support level above 2775 should hold as a lower price channel throughout this rotation.  By the end of October, it appears the price level of the ES will setup a base near or below 2900, then begin another rally above 3050.

WEEKLY NASDAQ (NQ) ADL CHART

This Weekly NQ ADL chart highlights the broader price rotation we expect to see in the NASDAQ.  The ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the NQ will breakdown to levels below 7000 over the next 4+ weeks, potentially finding a bottom somewhere near 6500 sometime in early November.  This breakdown in price would suggest the high multiple technology stocks may fall our of favor with investors as earnings and operations expectations are revalued.  One thing to pay close attention to is that the ES chart appears to recover in November where the NQ chart recovery process is shown to be much lower in price level.  This suggests the NQ may contract by as much as 12% to 18%, or more, throughout this rotation and that the ES may begin a recovery before the NQ attempts to find a bottom.

DOW JONES (YM) WEEKLY ADL CHART

This YM Weekly ADL chart shows that the Dow Jones Industrial sector should stay relatively immune from the type of rotation the ADL is predicting for the ES and NQ charts. The ADL system is predicting that the YM price will attempt a moderate price rally over the next 8+ days, then move lower to near the 26,000 level.  At that point, price will rotate near the 26,000 level for about 4 to 5 weeks before attempting to really back above 27,500 again.  This rotation constitutes only a 4% to 5% price rotation where the ES and NQ price rotations appear to be 2x to 4x that amount.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

When taken in total context, these ADL predictions suggest the ES and NQ will come under some extreme pricing pressures over the next 20 to 30+ days and that the NQ is the most likely to see a much deeper price correction throughout this span of time.

The ES will likely move lower throughout this expected price correction, but not as much as the NQ may fall.  The YM will likely rotate a bit lower as well, possibly below 26,000 for a brief period of time.  Yet the YM appears to be the most stable in terms of price volatility over the next 60 days and throughout this expected price rotation.

We believe this volatility is related to the Pennant/Flag formation that continues to setup within the broader markets.  This Apex event will initiate this price rotation if price starts reverse lower below support. The shift of capital away from technology/risk is a natural price rotation as the markets setup for another attempt at new highs.  The NQ may not recover to near highs before the end of 2019 based on our ADL price modeling system.  It may be that the run in technology is shifting into the hunt for value, dividends, and safety.

Find out what bull and bear funds to own as we enter the final quarter of the year. This is your chance to make back what you have lost or to close out the year with oversized returns. Visit my ETF trade alert newsletter at http://www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen

The recent price collapse in Bitcoin may be the start of a much bigger price trend in the Cryptos.  The support level near $9000 has been breached and the current resistance arc, see the MAGENTA Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs on these charts, are clearly acting as a major contracting price resistance level.  Our research suggests price will find support near $7900, then $5571, then possibly just above $2000. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter

The Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs are a proprietary modeling tool we use to measure and track how price may react based on previous price swings.  They are the visual deployment of two unique theories;  Fibonacci price theory and Tesla’s Mechanical Resonance theory.  The basis behind our thinking when we created this proprietary tool was that Fibonacci price theory suggests that all price movement is related and structured to previous price movements and that Tesla’s theory that everything we touch, see and know to exist is the result of ENERGY suggested to us that ENERGY may be one of the most important components in understanding price movement.

Energy is typically measured in Volts and Amps.  We adopted a different approach to this thinking, we used Sound structures and energy as the basis for our proprietary analysis: attack, intensity, decay, sustainability, amplitude, and frequency, as well as pressure and velocity.

“In Physics, sound energy is a form of energy.  Sound is a mechanical wave and as such consists physically in oscillatory elastic compression and in oscillatory displacement of fluid.  Therefore, the medium acts as a storage for both potential and kinetic energy.”

source : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sound_energy

Imagine trying to unlock the concept that Time and Price are a fluid environment where energy (price movement over time) creates a lasting and dynamic method of storing energy, displacing energy and developing kinetic energy that could interact and displace future price trends, rotations, swings?

How in the world would you attempt to identify or study these types of price energy waves to attempt to develop a system of successfully using these tools for trading and analysis?

You do exactly what we did – you try to apply your best researchers to the task and attempt to validate your research across various platforms, symbols, and sets of data.

With more than 54 years of experience in the markets and have studied almost all types of price theory, technical analysis, and other types of market price, technical, and fundamental analysis techniques.  We put our skills to the test every day in order to find and execute the best trades. If you want to see more of our trading indicators and tools click here.

BITCOIN FIBONACCI PRICE AMPLITUDE ARCS

These Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs, as we call them, are what we believe to be the hidden price energy wave that exists behind the linear constructs of the charts we are used to seeing.  They work by creating breakouts and channels that price must react to.  In this case, the Magenta price arc is acting as a contracting ceiling for the price (resistance) and price should continue to stay below the MAGENTA price arc until it reaches a point where enough energy exists to break through that arc.

WEEKLY BITCOIN CHART

This Weekly Bitcoin chart provides a better example of how our proprietary Fibonacci Price Amplitude arcs are deployed.  In this example, we can clearly see the bottom that formed in late 2018 and the peak that formed in late June 2019.  We can see two HEAVY Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs: one MAGENTA and the other one GREEN.  These are what we believe are the major amplitude arc levels.  The others are minor levels.

Each peak or valley on this chart sets up a new Price Amplitude energy pattern.  Some are more relevant than others in term of how price will react to them.  All of them are important to understand and to help us relate to how price may move in the future, yet we try to stick with the most important Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs when we share charts with our readers.  You’ve probably seen some of our other research charts with lots of arcs and lines drawn all over them – those are part of our research team’s work to dig into the hidden energy layer that exists behind price activity on every chart.

This Weekly Bitcoin chart suggests that price will continue to attempt to test various support levels while staying within the Magenta price arc.  We believe the $5571 level is the likely target at this time.

Don’t chase this move lower in Cryptos.  Wait for the bottom to setup and form before looking for the next move higher.  If price breaks below $5571, then we could see a target level near $2100 very quickly.  If price is unable to generate enough energy to break the Magenta price arc, time will eventually push price into the next arc series where a broader price range/rotation may be in the future.

5 OTHER CRUCIAL WARNING SIGNS ABOUT THE US MARKETS TOPPING AND THE GOLD AND SILVER BULL MARKET

In early June I posted a detailed video explaining in showing the bottoming formation and gold and where to spot the breakout level, I also talked about crude oil reaching it upside target after a double bottom, and I called short term top in the SP 500 index. This was one of my premarket videos for members it gives you a good taste of what you can expect each and every morning before the Opening Bell. Watch Video Here.

I then posted a detailed report talking about where the next bull and bear markets are and how to identify them. This report focused mainly on the SP 500 index and the gold miners index. My charts compared the 2008 market top and bear market along with the 2019 market prices today. See Comparison Charts Here.

On June 26th I posted that silver was likely to pause for a week or two before it took another run up on June 26. This played out perfectly as well and silver is now head up to our first key price target of $17. See Silver Price Cycle and Analysis.

More recently on July 16th, I warned that the next financial crisis (bear market) was scary close, possibly just a couple weeks away. The charts I posted will make you really start to worry. See Scary Bear Market Setup Charts.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

In short, you should be starting to get a feel of where stocks are headed along with precious metals for the next 8-24 months. The next step is knowing when and what to buy and sell as these turning points take place, and this is the hard part. If you want someone to guide you through the next 12-24 months complete with detailed market analysis and trade alerts (entry, targets and exit price levels) join my ETF Trading Newsletter.

Be prepared for these incredible price swings before they happen and learn how you can identify and trade these fantastic trading opportunities in 2019, 2020, and beyond with our  Wealth Building & Global Financial Reset Newsletter.  You won’t want to miss this big move, folks.  As you can see from our research, everything has been setting up for this move for many months.

Join me with a 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities starting to present themselves will be life-changing if handled properly.

FREE GOLD OR SILVER WITH MEMBERSHIP!

Kill two birds with one stone and subscribe for two years to get your FREE PRECIOUS METAL and get enough trades to profit through the next metals bull market and financial crisis!

Chris Vermeulen – www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

If you follow the headline news, read multiple articles a day from different sources on the markets, and are human then you are likely underperforming the market in which you are trying to beat like gold, miners, the SP500 index or whatever it may be.

The information I talk about below and in this video should be a real eye opener for those have not seen technical analysis in action, just how clear the we can see what the stock market, bonds, metals, oil and more will do next. Even at a time like this when the markets are gyrating all over hte place from week to week, we can still gauge our risk and be a winner.

No matter where I go when someone asks me what I do for a living, the person asking has the same “Deer in the headlights” look on their face. I am a technical analyst and trade stocks and commodities for a living with zero external input other than what the price chart of an asset class has painted on the chart.

Most people have never heard of technical analysis for trading or investing, and those that have heard about it think its some type of VooDoo and holds little value. The reality is technical analysis outperforms most of those who trade based on news, earnings, economic data etc…

Why? because all those things are very random data points and unpredictable. If they are important big/smart/insider money has moved into position to take advantage of this before the information becomes public. This is why good news for stocks gets sold into once released for example.

I started trading stocks when I was 16 years old in high school and fall in love with reading charts. Now, 23 years later I have no doubt in my mind technical analysis and trading systems are the absolute best way to trade and invest for growth. Dont get me wrong I spent years digging through company perspectives, reports, press releases and a few years of doing that was almost enough to make me hate trading as it become more like a job and less profitable.

If you just want to cut to the point and know what and when to buy, take profits, and exit a position then technical analysis is what you seek!

HOW TO ANALYZE KEY MARKETS EVERY MORNING

The analysis presented below covers the SP500, Bond, Utilities, Gold, Silver, Oil, and even Bitcoin. This is the analysis I share very day before the opening bell to keep you up to date with current market trends, potentially explosive moves, and set you expectations so you do not become overly emotional and exit a trade early from fear, or excitement.

THIS HAPPENED LATER THAT SAME DAY – WASHOUT LOW

In the video above I talked about how the SP500 was setting critical support that day, and I did this before the opening bell at 9 am. We just take a look at what the market likes to do intraday with the price to shake traders out of their position and trigger their stop-loss orders just before a market reversal.

I live and die by these three rules for my technical trading

1. IDENTIFY TREND DIRECTION

Trends are more likely to continue then they are to reverse. Draw trend lines on the long-term and short-term charts.

2. FIND SUPPORT & RESISTANCE

Identify critical areas of support and resistance on the price charts. Calculate Fibonacci percent retracements, advancement levels, and other measured moves.

3. TIME CYCLES & SENTIMENT

Use cycle analysis, investor sentiment, volatility, panic selling, greed buying, and price patterns to form accurate price forecasts to use for trading. Opt-in to our free market trend forecast newsletter

REACHING THE CHARTS IS ONLY HALF THE EQUATION

Focus Just On The Charts and Ignore All Other Data/Opinions or else you’ll end up with analysis paralysis.

Traders contact me every day confused about which direction to trade. I can tell a couple things very quickly about their issues depending on how they state their problem or question, and its generally a simple fix, or answer that will get them back on track but analysis paralysis is one of the most common issues.

The second half the equation for trading success is a topic most traders turn a blind eye to because it seems confusing, and, or boring. Risk management is the key to long term success and a portfolio value that always goes up and to the right. Believe it or not, its super simple, takes seconds to figure out what position size you should take in any given stock or ETF trade.

In a future post, I am going to talk about how you can take half the financial risk while making 8x more profits. Stay Tuned!

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

News of the formal impeachment proceedings came just after the markets closed on September 24, 2019.  The markets had already broken a bit lower most of the day after Consumer Confidence and Jobs expectations were weaker than expected.  We had just authored a public research post about our belief that the Technology sector was about to breakdown and begin to move lower.  Additionally, we pushed out a post about how Silver would become the “Super-Hero” of 2019/2020 based on our expectations of further gains. We believe the new impeachment proceedings will result in a market that is very similar to what happened when the US invaded Kuwait in August 1990.  At that time, the US launched a very fast invasion of Kuwait that prompted a massive news event and resulted in hours of new invasion video that drew millions of Americans into watching the news every night.  This invasion was almost like an extended Super Bowl or an extended World Series event where millions of people are actively engaged in this event, stop engaging in the local economy and focus their attentions on the news cycle, content and political circus originating in DC. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR TRADERS

For traders, it means we have to be prepared for just about anything.  It means the news events will become even bigger drivers of market rotation and trends as well as the fact that we must prepare for weaker economic data over the next 13+ months.  The impeachment process is going to be a dramatic distraction for many people and business ventures.  Many will simply fall into a “protectionist” mode where new expenses, expansion and other facets of life/business will be put on hold until after November 2020 (or later). Our research team believes the initiation of these impeachment proceedings will act as a process of muting or weakening the US economy over time.  Starting out slowly at first, then gaining strength as the news cycle picks up more and more “dirt” while both sides posture and position for advantage into the November 2020 election cycle.  The end result will be a decidedly weaker US economy as a result of this new impeachment process and we believe the final outcome could leave some career politicians bloodied and battle-weary.

NASDAQ DAILY CHART

This NASDAQ Daily chart highlights what we believe will become the future breakdown of the technology heavy NASDAQ as investors become sidetracked on the impeachment investigation and the political side-show that is going on in DC.  This type of chaos in DC tends to take the focus away from finance and business as the political theater, the pending US presidential election and the never-ending news cycle fill the void.  Weakness and volatility could become a standard operating environment for skilled technical traders over the next 12+ months.

S&P 500 DAILY CHART

This S&P 500 Daily chart highlights the same setup and weakness that we expect to settle into the US markets over the next 12+ months.  The previous Double-top formation in the SPX near 3026 could become a major point of resistance should price breakdown and continue to move lower on a price revaluation/reversion move.  We believe the impeachment investigation announced today will cause enough concern and uncertainty in the global markets to derail any real efforts by the central banks to support the global economy.  At this point, consider buying consumer essentials, utilities, precious metals and dividend earning stocks for the longer term.

MONTHLY S&P 500 CHART

This Monthly S&P 500 chart highlights the volatility that has setup in the US markets since early 2018.  It also highlights the previous two US presidential election periods on the chart in BLUE.  The reality is that every US presidential election cycle is associated with price rotation in the US stock markets.  This happens because the level of uncertainty and confusion about forward economic policy is heightened.  Traders and investors don’t know what to expect as the political battle wages, so price rotation and volatility is normally heightened as the news cycle drives shorter term price trend.  The same thing is going to happen over the next 12+ months – but we have the added FUEL of the impeachment investigation.  Get ready for some really big price swings in the global markets.

MONTHLY GOLD CHART

Lastly, Gold – that shiny safe metal that almost everyone had forgot about 3+ years ago is now poised for a move to just below $2000 over the next 8+ months.  Our initial target is just below $1800 (actually $1795) for Gold on this next upside price move.  You can see our proprietary Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs on this chart and where we’ve drawn the “Current Resistance” line on this chart.  Once gold rallies past this level, $1625, then we believe the next phase of the upside price rally towards $1800 will be very quick – possibly even settling well above $1800.
Many of our readers remember the Kuwait invasion and what happened in the US at that time.  Certainly we can’t be the only ones over 50 that remember what happened in 1990.  The reality is that society reacts to these types of outside events by either becoming motivated to engage in some way or becomes more protectionist by staying home, watching the news and not taking risks.  We believe the later will be the case over the next 12+ months as more clarity is determined by the ongoing impeachment and election processes. Our advice would be to protect everything you can right now.  Don’t wait for a breakdown in prices to learn that you should have protected your assets.  The new cycle will be driving prices until things settle after November 2020.  Thus, this is like riding out a very violent storm with crazy winds and waves.  You don’t know what to expect and where it will hit next.  What we do know is there will be some really big waves, price swings and opportunities for skilled technical traders. With more than 54 years of experience in the markets and have studied almost all types of price theory, technical analysis, and other types of market price, technical, and fundamental analysis techniques.  We put our skills to the test every day in order to help our clients find and execute the best trades. If you want to see more of our trading indicators and tools click here. Chris Vermeulen www.TheTechnicalTraders.com NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation, or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.  Visit our web site (www.thetechnicaltraders.com) to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.