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Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs Predict Big Gold Breakout

Precious metals have become the focus of many researchers and traders recently.  Bank of America recently raised its target to $3000 for gold (source: https://www.bloomberg.com).  In December 2019, we published a research article suggesting precious metals were setting up a long-term pattern that should result in a big breakout to the upside for gold. Every trader must understand the consequences and market dynamics that may take place if Gold rallies above $2500 over the next few months.

An upside price breakout in precious metals that has been predicted by our researcher and dozens of other analysts suggests broad market concern related to future economic growth and global debt.  There is no other way to interpret the recent upside price move in Gold.  Back in 2015, Gold was trading near $1060 per ounce.  Currently, the price of gold has risen by nearly 64% and is trading near $1740.  If gold breaks higher on a big upside move (possibly to levels above $2100 initially), this would complete a 100% upside price move from 2015 lows and would set up an incredible opportunity for further upside price legs/advancements.

Before we continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals 
before closing this page, so you don’t miss our next special report!

DAILY GOLD CHART
FIB ARCS & TESLA PRICE AMPLITUDE ARCS

This Daily Gold chart highlights our proprietary Fibonacci/Tesla Price Amplitude Arcs and our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system.  Although the chart may be a bit complicated to understand, pay attention to the GREEN ARC with the MAGENTA HIGHLIGHT near current price levels.  This is a key price resistance arc that is about to be broken/breached.  Once this level is breached with a new upside price advance, the $2100 price level becomes the immediate upside price target.

These Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs have become a very valuable tool for our researchers.  They act as price resistance/support bubbles/arcs.  When they align with price activity as price advances or declines, they provide very clear future price targets and levels where the price will run into resistance/support.  Currently, the Price Amplitude Arc is suggesting that once Gold rallies above $1775, the next leg higher should target the $2000 price level, then briefly stall before rallying to levels above $2100.

WEEKLY GOLD CHART

This Weekly Gold chart highlighting the longer-term price picture paints a very clear picture for Gold traders.  Once $1775 has been reached and the Magenta level has been broken, Gold should rally very quickly to levels above $2000, then target levels above $2100 within a few more weeks.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

Our researchers believe Gold will eventually target $3750 from research that was completed in 2019.  We suggest taking a moment to read our “Crazy Ivan” research post from early August 2019. It is critical to understand how the price setup originated near August 2019 and how it has matured recently.

It doesn’t matter what type of trader or investor you are – the move in Gold and the major global markets over the next 12+ months is going to be incredible.  Gold rallying to $2100, $3000 or higher means the US and global markets will continue to stay under some degree of pricing pressure throughout the next 12 to 24 months.  This means there are inherent risks in the markets that many traders are simply ignoring.

I keep pounding my fists on the table hoping people can see what I am trying to warn them about, which is the next major market crash, much worse than what we saw in March. See this article and video for a super easy to understand the scenario that is playing out as we speak.

If you want to learn more about the Super-Cycles and Generational Cycles that are taking place in the markets right now, please take a minute to review our Change Your Thinking – Change Your Future book detailing our research into these super-cycles.  It is almost impossible to believe that our researchers called this move back in March 2019 in our book and reports.

As a technical analyst and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles in stocks and commodities. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for investing and short-term swing traders. 2020 is going to be an incredible year for skilled traders.  Don’t miss all the incredible moves and trade setups.

Subscribers of my ETF trading newsletter had our trading accounts close at a new high watermark. We not only exited the equities market as it started to roll over in February, but we profited from the sell-off in a very controlled way with TLT bonds for a 20% gain. This week we closed out SPY ETF trade taking advantage of this bounce and entered a new trade with our account is at another all-time high value.

I hope you found this informative, and if you would like to get a pre-market video every day before the opening bell, along with my trade alerts. These simple to follow ETF swing trades have our trading accounts sitting at new high water marks yet again this week, not many traders can say that this year. Visit my Active ETF Trading Newsletter.

We all have trading accounts, and while our trading accounts are important, what is even more important are our long-term investment and retirement accounts. Why? Because they are, in most cases, our largest store of wealth other than our homes, and if they are not protected during a time like this, you could lose 25-50% or more of your entire net worth. The good news is we can preserve and even grow our long term capital when things get ugly like they are now and ill show you how and one of the best trades is one your financial advisor will never let you do because they do not make money from the trade/position.

If you have any type of retirement account and are looking for signals when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to become a member of my Long-Term Investing Signals which we issued a new signal for subscribers.

Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategies
Founder of Technical Traders Ltd.

AI Fibonacci Modeling Predicts $26 As Next Silver Target

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system incorporates an intelligent “Inference Engine” into internal decision-making and future analysis.  This type of “Adaptive Learning” is one of the core elements of Artificial Intelligence – the ability to read inputs, adapting to price structures and setups and infer expected outcomes/results based on a complex decision-making process.  Today, we are alerting you that our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting $26 is the next target level for Silver (which is currently trading near $15.65).

Learning how to interpret the data presented by our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is simple – it does the internal analysis automatically and presents future target levels and trigger levels on the charts as lines and blocks.  Trigger levels are set up as both GREEN and RED lines for current Bullish and Bearish Trends.  Each of these trends also has target BLOCKS drawn out into the future representing where the Adaptive Fibonacci system believes the next price target will be located.  These target levels are determined by the Adaptive Learning Inference Engine and represent the best outcome of the true Fibonacci price structure we can deliver.

WEEKLY SILVER CHART

This Weekly Silver chart highlights the incredible +66% upside opportunity setting up based on our research.  Silver continues to underperform compared to Gold and it continues to be overlooked as a safe-haven metal.  Back in September 2019, we authored this article suggesting Silver would become the “Super-Hero” of precious metals.  That research is still very valid today.

This Weekly Silver chart highlights our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system’s results and clearly shows you the upside price target near $26.  We believe the US and Global stock markets may continue to weaken as earnings and forward guidance continue to rattle investors’ expectations.  This uncertainty will translate into a continued upside price rally in Metals.  Gold will obviously lead the way higher, yet we believe the sleeper metal is Silver.  Once silver clears recent highs near $19.75, be prepared for an incredible parabolic upside move.

DAILY GOLD CHART

The other aspect of this move is that Gold will continue to move higher as well.  The next upside target for gold is $1840, followed by a brief pause in price, then a continued rally to levels near $2000.  If you think the metals rally it sputtering out right now, we urge you to reconsider your thinking.

Before we continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals 
before closing this page, so you don’t miss our next special report!

WEEKLY GOLD CHART

Precious metals will likely continue to rally higher and higher, eventually entering a parabolic upside price rally, as global concerns reach a peak.  After the US and Global stock markets set up a real price bottom, metals will continue to rally for 8 to 12+ months after that bottom has setup.  Metals are about to become one of the fastest-growing assets on the planet and may not stop until well into 2021 or 2022.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Do yourself a favor and take a minute to review some of our most recent market research and really prepare for the rally in metals.  That last Weekly Gold chart highlights what we believe will be the initial upside price rally (in YELLOW) and shows how Gold will target $2000, then briefly pause, then attempt another upside move to levels above $2300.  Our real upside price target for the long-term Fibonacci peak in Gold is near $3750 – that should tell you something really important.

As a technical analyst and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles in stocks and commodities. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for investing and short-term swing traders. 2020 is going to be an incredible year for skilled traders.  Don’t miss all the incredible moves and trade setups.

I hope you found this informative, and if you would like to get a pre-market video every day before the opening bell, along with my trade alerts. These simple to follow ETF swing trades have our trading accounts sitting at new high water marks yet again this week, not many traders can say that this year. Visit my Active ETF Trading Newsletter.

We all have trading accounts, and while our trading accounts are important, what is even more important are our long-term investment and retirement accounts. Why? Because they are, in most cases, our largest store of wealth other than our homes, and if they are not protected during a time like this, you could lose 25-50% or more of your entire net worth. The good news is we can preserve and even grow our long term capital when things get ugly like they are now and ill show you how and one of the best trades is one your financial advisor will never let you do because they do not make money from the trade/position.

If you have any type of retirement account and are looking for signals when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to become a member of my Long-Term Investing Signals which we issued a new signal for subscribers.

Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategies
Founder of Technical Traders Ltd.

Artificial Intelligence Fibonacci Trading System Predicts Next Price Move

Now that you’ve learned about Fibonacci Price Theory Part I and how major and minor Fibonacci Price Pivots help to map out true price structure Part II, we’ll continue our research article illustrating why we believe a deeper price low should take place before a true bottoms sets up in the US and global markets.

Our researchers use a host of available tools and proprietary price modeling systems in an attempt to identify the most likely outcome of future price activity.  Within this article, we’re focusing on the Fibonacci Price Theory and our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system.  We just taught you about Fibonacci Price Pivots and how to use them.  Now, we are going to go into a detailed analysis of deeper Fibonacci price theory with the NQ (NASDAQ)

DAILY NASDAQ FIBONACCI CHART

This Daily NQ chart, below, should show you a whole new world if you are viewing the chart bars in the Fibonacci price structure.  The recent highs in price, near 8000, have established a minor Fibonacci High Pivot.  There is another minor Fibonacci High Pivot back near 9000 in the midst of the sell-off.  There are others in this chart as well – see if you can find them.

The structure of price based on Fibonacci Price Theory continues to suggest that resistance will be found near the 7875 or the 8210 levels in the NQ that may prompt a strong Bearish price reversal.  The NQ price would have to rally to levels above 9000, at this point, to qualify as a potential Bullish trend based on Fibonacci Price Theory.  The minor price pivot high near 9000 can be interpreted at a Major Price Pivot because of the size of the downside price move.

Before we continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals 
before closing this page, so you don’t miss our next special report!

WEEKLY NASDAQ FIBONACCI CHART

This last chart highlights our Weekly Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system and shows the GREEN Trigger Line on the right side of the chart.  The Bullish Trigger level on the NQ Weekly chart is at 8200.  This suggests that the NQ price would have to rally and close above the 8200 level to have any type of early confirmation of a potential bullish price trend.  If the price were to fail near 8200 and fall below this level, then the bullish trigger is negated.

You can see what our research team expects to happen by the drawn levels on the chart below.  We believe a deeper price low must complete in order for the proper Fibonacci price structure to set up a bottom.  The next Major low price pivot for the NQ is the 2018 low level near 5824.  It is very likely that this level will become the next downside target should the current NQ price rally fail.  Remember, failure to establish a new price high means price must attempt to establish a new price low.

A couple of weeks go I published a PDF guide on how to identify market trends both short-term and long-term using some basic indicators.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

If you are trying to call a bottom in this market, we urge you to move towards a safer stance in your investing style.  We moved our clients into a nearly 100% cash position just before the peak in the markets.  Since then, we’ve been very protective of assets and allocated only a small portion of our capital to new trade signals.

This is not the time to get married to any positions or trades.  The markets can change in an instant and the volatility is still excessive (VIX above 40)

As a technical analyst and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles in stocks and commodities. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for investing and short-term swing traders. 2020 is going to be an incredible year for skilled traders.  Don’t miss all the incredible moves and trade setups.

I hope you found this informative, and if you would like to get a pre-market video every day before the opening bell, along with my trade alerts. These simple to follow ETF swing trades have our trading accounts sitting at new high water marks yet again this week, not many traders can say that this year. Visit my Active ETF Trading Newsletter.

We all have trading accounts, and while our trading accounts are important, what is even more important are our long-term investment and retirement accounts. Why? Because they are, in most cases, our largest store of wealth other than our homes, and if they are not protected during a time like this, you could lose 25-50% or more of your entire net worth. The good news is we can preserve and even grow our long term capital when things get ugly like they are now and ill show you how and one of the best trades is one your financial advisor will never let you do because they do not make money from the trade/position.

If you have any type of retirement account and are looking for signals when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to become a member of my Long-Term Investing Signals which we issued a new signal for subscribers.

Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategies
Founder of Technical Traders Ltd.

Our Fib Trading System is Telling Us Where The Market Is Headed Next

In this section of our multi-part research post centered around our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system’s expectations, we are focusing on the NQ (NASDAQ futures) and the future expected price rotations. As we discussed earlier, in Part I, Fibonacci price theory teaches us that price must always attempt to establish new price highs or new price lows within a trend.  Reversals happen when price fails to continue establishing new price highs or new price lows and breaks above or below a recent critical price level.

First, we’ll focus on the major Fibonacci Price Pivots and how to identify and use them with the Fibonacci Price Theory.  Major Price Pivots are points in time where a major new High or Low price is established that becomes a critical price top or bottom.  Often, within extended trending, a minor price pivot will become a major price pivot simply because the price trend has extended for many weeks or months without establishing any type of moderate price rotation.  The reason we could consider a minor price pivot as a major price pivot is that, within the extended trend, we attempt to identify where price setup a “unique low” or “unique high” as a point of support or resistance within the trend.

Before we continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals 
before closing this page, so you don’t miss our next special report!

WEEKLY NASDAQ CHART – MAJOR PIVOTS

Here is a Weekly NQ chart highlighting the major Fibonacci Price Pivots.  Notice the Major Low Pivot in late November 2019 that was identified as a “minor to major” pivot.  These major price pivots become a road map telling us where price MUST go in order to establish a new trend or to change trend direction.

Currently, the bearish trend is clearly identifiable because the price has recently broken below the last major Fibonacci Low Price Pivots and established a “new price low”.  In order for us to consider this bearish trend is completed or over, the price would have to rally all the way back to break the move recent major Fibonacci High Price Pivot (near the recent peak). A couple of weeks go I published a PDF guide on how to identify market trends both short-term and long-term using some basic indicators.

NASDAQ WEEKLY CHART – MINOR PIVOTS

Now, let’s learn about the minor Fibonacci Price Pivots…

This next Weekly NQ chart highlights the minor Fibonacci Price Pivots.  These are the price lows and highs that do not constitute a “critical price high or low” on the chart.  They are still valid for us in our understanding of Fibonacci price theory and where future price may attempt to rally or selloff to and they help skilled traders in understanding the true nature of price activity and structure.

Minor Fibonacci Price Pivots are intermediate unique high or low price levels that set up the “wave structure” in price that we are attempting to illustrate to you.  When price moves higher, a series of new higher highs and higher lows usually sets up within that trend.  When price moves lower, a series of new lower lows and lower highs usually set up within that trend.  These minor pivots are a method of tracking this type of price activity and a process of learning the major and minor price levels that usually become very important in determining what is really happening in price structure.

COMBINING BOTH MINOR AND MAJOR PIVOTS

Now, we’ll combine these major and minor pivots onto one chart to grasp the bigger price structure.

Once we combine these major and minor Fibonacci Price Pivots onto one chart, you should be able to see the “road-map” of the structure of price fairly easily.  You should be able to see how Major Pivots setup massive critical price structures (tops and bottoms) that establish the major support and resistance levels in price.  These also become major trigger levels for broader trends and reversals in price.  You should also be able to see how the Minor Pivot Levels offer intermediate price guidance and shorter-term support and resistance as price attempts to work through the Fibonacci Price Theory Structure.

Remember, the Fibonacci Price Theory suggests that price is always attempting to reach new highs or new lows within a trend.  Thus, if it is not attempting to reach new highs, then it must be an attempt to reach new lows.  These pivot structures are the keys to understanding the true Fibonacci price theory.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Currently, The NQ would have to rally all the way back above 9750, the most recent Major Fibonacci Pivot High, in order to qualify for a new Longer-term Bullish trend.  We expect the price of the NQ will rotate lower in the near future simply because the most recent confirmed price trend was the breakdown low in early 2020 that broke below the past three major Fibonacci Low Price Pivots.

Remember the Fibonacci Price Theory tells us that Price is always attempting to establish new price highs or lows – all the time.  Thus, if the newest price low has broken below the past Major Low Price Pivots, then the trend is considered Bearish until price confirms it has broken above the most recent Major High Price Pivot.

As you continue to learn Fibonacci Price Theory and apply these techniques, remember that these types of price structures are fundamental components to the much broader technical analysis techniques and modeling systems we use every day for our clients.  We want to help you learn to become a better trader and learn to identify solid trading signals.

As a technical analyst and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles in stocks and commodities. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for investing and short-term swing traders. 2020 is going to be an incredible year for skilled traders.  Don’t miss all the incredible moves and trade setups.

I hope you found this informative, and if you would like to get a pre-market video every day before the opening bell, along with my trade alerts. These simple to follow ETF swing trades have our trading accounts sitting at new high water marks yet again this week, not many traders can say that this year. Visit my Active ETF Trading Newsletter.

We all have trading accounts, and while our trading accounts are important, what is even more important are our long-term investment and retirement accounts. Why? Because they are, in most cases, our largest store of wealth other than our homes, and if they are not protected during a time like this, you could lose 25-50% or more of your entire net worth. The good news is we can preserve and even grow our long term capital when things get ugly like they are now and ill show you how and one of the best trades is one your financial advisor will never let you do because they do not make money from the trade/position.

If you have any type of retirement account and are looking for signals when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to become a member of my Long-Term Investing Signals which we issued a new signal for subscribers.

Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategies
Founder of Technical Traders Ltd.

Adaptive Fibonacci Suggests A Deeper Bottom Will Setup

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system suggests a much deeper price move is in the works and the current price rally will likely end near resistance levels identified by the Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system.  We are posting this research post for friends and followers to help them understand the true structure of price and to allow them to prepare for what we believe will become a much deeper downside price move in the future.

Fibonacci Price Theory teaches us that price moves in waves within up and down price cycles.  The recent peak in price, near February 25, 2020, has resulted in a very deep -36% price collapse in the S&P 500 (ES) recently.  This downside move has been mostly straight down, excluding a brief retracement in early March.  The strength of this downside price move suggests a moderate upside price recovery will take place before the next downside leg sets up.

Before we continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals 
before closing this page, so you don’t miss our next special report!

S&P 500 WEEKLY CHART OF 2008-09 CREDIT CRISIS MARKET COLLAPSE

Throughout the 2008-09 Credit Crisis market collapse, prices staged multiple recovery attempts within the downward price trend.  The first, after the initial -20.88% selloff in late 2007, resulted in a +14.83% price recovery that lasted for over 15+ weeks.  The second recovery, near the end of July 2008, resulted in a +9.56% recovery after a nearly -17% price decline.  After this brief recovery in July 2008, the price collapsed by a massive -44% from August to November 2008.

DAILY S&P 500 CHART

This Daily ES chart highlights the first two levels of resistance at 2700 & 2870 that could stall the rally and prompt a downside price move in the future. Support is currently at 2450.  We believe the 2700 level will act as a soft ceiling in the ES where price may attempt to rally, briefly, above this level, which it did yesterday, then pull back and pause as selling pressure re-enters the market.  The 2870 level may act as a hard ceiling where price may attempt to reach this level, but immediately reverse back to the downside.

Overall, we believe continued selling as a result of forward global economic expectations is the most obvious outcome where a deeper price bottom will setup sometime later this spring or early summer.

WEEKLY S&P 500 CHART

This Weekly S&P 500 chart (ES) shows a possible outcome for price going forward if another downside move starts.  A new downside price move to levels near to, or just below, the 2015~16 low price range is not unreasonable. From this level, we believe a “Flag” formation will setup creating an extended price bottom pattern down at those extreme lows.  We believe this “Flag” formation will end near August~October 2020, just before the 2020 elections and prompt the beginning of a new upside price recovery in the US and global markets.

This is a large forward-looking projection and you may be rolling your eyes, but they are very possible. In fact, last year we predicted the months and price levels in which gold and oil would start new major trends, and we did this 8 months before they took place, similar to what we are proposing here.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

The rotation in price setup by this brief upside price move will set up a new Fibonacci downside and upside price target range.  We believe it is essential for price to continue this type of rotation as the eventual bottom sets up in the US and global markets.  We believe the true price bottom will happen only after the virus event has subsided and global economies begin to start functioning like normal again.

Currently, there is simply too much of a world-wide disruption to expect that the bottom has already set up near last year’s (2019) brief price lows.  The scale and scope of the current downside price collapse do not properly reflect the total scope of this global virus event yet – it is still a reactionary move in price that has yet to properly digest the total scope of the global economic disruptions. There is a chance for stronger bounce/rally in the next few weeks/months if the virus can start to be contained, and that will continue to mimic that of the 2000 tech bubble. Believe it or not, there is a big similarity to what happened then, to what is happening now in terms of price action and market sentiment. Read article and see these charts.

In other words, we believe more selling will be seen in the global markets and more economic contraction will take place until we are safely beyond this virus event.  The longer the global economic shutdown continues, the more likely we are to see a deeper price bottom in the future and the more likely we are to see more extensive economic collateral damage across the world. No matter which way the markets move we will follow and trade the price action and profit. That is the benefit of following price vs trying to trade prediction, fundamental data etc.

In Part II of this research article, we’ll dig deeper into the underlying components that support our research.

As a technical analyst and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles in stocks and commodities. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for investing and short-term swing traders.

I hope you found this informative, and if you would like to get a pre-market video every day before the opening bell, along with my trade alerts visit my Active ETF Trading Newsletter.

We all have trading accounts, and while our trading accounts are important, what is even more important are our long-term investment and retirement accounts. Why? Because they are, in most cases, our largest store of wealth other than our homes, and if they are not protected during a time like this, you could lose 25-50% or more of your entire net worth. The good news is we can preserve and even grow our long term capital when things get ugly like they are now and ill show you how and one of the best trades is one your financial advisor will never let you do because they do not make money from the trade/position.

If you have any type of retirement account and are looking for signals when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to become a member of my Long-Term Investing Signals which we issued a new signal for subscribers.

Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategies
Founder of Technical Traders Ltd.

The Selloff Structure Explained – Fibonacci On Deck

Many traders become very emotional when the markets turn Bearish and fail to properly understand that price structure is still driving market price movement.  This morning, I highlighted this structure to my subscribers attempting to alert them to the possibility that the markets could recover moderately over the next 3 to 5+ days attempting to set up the next “waterfall” downside price event.

On January 29, 2020, I posted a research article detailing my belief that a “waterfall” type of event was setting up in the markets.  This article was nearly 30 days prior to the peak in the markets.  It explained how events take place and how markets tend to develop a moderate recovery phase between selloff price declines.

January 29, 2020: ARE WE SETTING UP FOR A WATERFALL SELLOFF?

Skilled traders should notice the size and levels of each selloff event in the chart (above) and pay very close attention to how price initially collapsed from the peak, then recovered nearly 50% in early and late November before finally setting up a deeper waterfall price collapse in early December.

Our research team believes the US stock markets may attempt something similar over the next 3 to 5+ days as the Covid-19 economic outcome continues to process through the global markets.

The US and other Central Banks have taken broad steps to attempt to overcome the negative economic outcomes related to the Covid-19 global shutdown.  Their biggest concern is that consumer activity could diminish and banking/credit firms could come under severe pressures because of a consumer collapse.

There are over 35 million US low-wage jobs that may become at-risk because of the Covid-19 virus event.  We believe the true economic contagion of the global virus event may now be known until well into April or May 2020.  Yet we believe these at-risk, low-wage jobs are prevalent throughout the globe and foreign nations, such as Asia and Europe, may experience a similar consumer economic contagion over the next 6+ months.

Before you continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals 
before closing this page, so you don’t miss our next special report!

We believe the data related to the Covid-19 economic crisis will not fully be known until well into April or May 2020.  Because of this, we believe the US stock markets may recover to levels near the 50% Fibonacci Retracement levels on these charts before attempting a series of further downside price moves.  Skilled traders should not become overly emotional right now and pay attention to the structure of the price action as well as other technical conditions in play at the moment.  Our objective is to execute trades with a highly targets success rate – not to trade on emotions.

SPY DAILY CHART

This SPY Daily chart shows the SPY would only need to rally 18.70 points to reach the 50% Fibonacci retracement level on this chart.  This could happen very quickly given how close the price actually is to this key Fibonacci level.  If that were to happen over the next 3 to 5+ trading days, the downward sloping price channels from our TTCharger modeling system would move lower to meet price near 278 – which would set up a new resistance zone and possibly a new wave of selling.

INDU DAILY CHART

This INDU Daily chart shows the Dow Jones would have to rally about 2025 points (to levels near 23,886) to reach the 50% Fibonacci Retracement target.  If this were to happen, the sloping price channels on this chart would likely move lower to meet price near this 50% target level – presenting a very clear resistance zone for a new wave of selling to begin.

Remember, it is not about emotions or attempting to try to force the markets to adopt your “belief”.  Skilled traders attempt to identify risks, opportunities and realistic technical setups that allow them to objectively determine where and when the markets are providing a real opportunity for success.

We may be just a few days away from the next major wave of selling, yet any trader who jumped into an emotional trader over the past 5+ days expecting the markets to continue to break down is likely under a fair amount of stress right now.  Learn to read the charts and the structure of price more effectively and you’ll find the answers are already on the charts in front of you.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for short-term swing traders.

If you are a more active trader and swing trader visit my Active ETF Trading Newsletter. If you are a long-term investor looking for signals when to own equities, bonds, or cash, be sure to look into my Long-Term Investing Signals.

Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist
Founder of Technical Traders Ltd.

Who Said Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now?

Nearing the end of 2019, our research team continues to attempt to dissect the market rally in an effort to present credible research and timely insights to skilled technical traders.  We recently authored a research article discussing the potential that the US Stock market is less than 2.5% away from a major resistance level that could prompt a massive market top.  You can read our research related to these Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs here.

This recent research leads us to revisit the recent blow-off rotation in recent markets.  The typical market cycle moves from through these cycles Stealth Phase, the Awareness Phase, the Mania Phase and finally to the Blow-Off Phase.  The Stealth Phase is where the smart money pours into the market taking advantage of undervalued assets/equities.  The Awareness phase is where more traditional and retail investors pile into assets that have formed traditional bottom formation and started to rally.  The Mania Phase is when enthusiasm and greed take over and when the market moves higher in a parabolic price mode – ultimately reaching a massive top.  Then, we start the Blow-Off Phase which usually starts with a deep “R” type price rotation – followed by extended selling.

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Source: Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Dept. of Global Studies & Geography Hofstra University

We’ve seen these types of market phases play out over the past 20+ years multiple times.  The DOTCOM market breakdown, the 2009 Credit Market Crisis, and the 2017 BITCOIN breakdown.  One of the clearest examples in history was the 1929 Stock Market Crash.

The effort of our research team is to highlight the recent rally mode in the US stock market after the 2018 US Stock Market rotation (January 2018 and August 2018).  If you pay very close attention to the details of these actual price rotations in the examples below, you’ll notice that every ultimate peak happened after a period of moderately deep price rotation and an extended upside price rally (an exhaustion rally).  In every example, this rotation setup the exhaustion rally which ultimately set up the massive price peak/top.


Source: Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue Dept. of Global Studies & Geography Hofstra University
Cole Garner: https://medium.com/hackernoon/marketcycle-4e5407d0c68

We believe the rotation in the US stock market in 2018 exhibited the exact same price setup and the current upside price rally is the exhaustion rally that will ultimately set up a massive price peak/top.  We’ve highlighted our research team’s expectations in the S&P500 chart below.

The fact that this potential price peak aligns with our GREEN Fibonacci price amplitude arc presents another clear example that massive resistance exists near 3200 in the S&P.  The phases of the extended market rally, lasting just over 10 years now, align nearly perfectly with the previous examples of major market tops and a Blow-Off Phase.

Our research team believes the resistance level near 3200 on the S&P will likely result in a downside price rotation setting up an “R” type price move.  Once this completes, a Blow-Off phase could begin rather quickly.  We believe the expansion of the markets has reached a point well past a euphoric phase and the rotation in 2018 setup the perfect exhaustion rally phase.  We believe it is just a matter of time at this point before the Blow-Off phase begins.

We would be surprised if the S&P rallied far beyond the 3200 price level before setting up the “R” price rotation.  We believe the first 3 to 5 months of 2020 will create the “R” price setup before broader market concerns take hold – potentially bursting investor enthusiasm.

All this could be the start of the next real estate crash we explain here.

Don’t miss these next moves in the markets.  Our research goes beyond traditional types of analysis and our research team is dedicated to helping you protect your assets and wealth.

In short, rotations in ETFs, such as this potential move in WOOD, will continue to set up and rotate throughout the 2020 election event and beyond we’ll keep you informed as this plays out with Wealth Building & Global Financial Reset Newsletter. Join us with the 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Get a Free 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar Shipped To You as a Bonus!

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Chris Vermeulen
Founder of Technical Traders Ltd.
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

100% Measured Moves May Signal A Top

One type of Fibonacci price structure we use to attempt to measure price trends and identify potential tops/bottoms is the “100% Measured Move” structure.  This is a price structure where a previous price move is almost perfectly replicated in a subsequent price trend after a brief period of retracement or price correction.  These types of patterns happen all the time in various forms across multitudes of symbols to create very solid trading signals for those that are capable of identifying trends and opportunities using this technique. If you want my daily analysis and trade ideas, be sure to get my updates by joining my free trend signals email list.

The first thing we look for is a strong price trend or the initially confirmed reversal of a price trend.  We find that these trending price ranges and initial “impulse trends” tend to prompt 100% measured moves fairly accurately.  The explosive middle-trend is where one can’t assume any type of Fibonacci 100% measured move will happen.  Those explosive moves in a trend that tend to happen in the middle of a price trend are what we call the “expansion wave” of a trend and will typically be 160% or more the size of the initial impulse trend.

These trade setups we call the “100% measured moves” are naturally occurring price rotations that skilled traders can use to identify strong trade potential setups.  They are more common in rotating markets where a moderate trend bias is in place (for example in the current YM or ES chart).

First, let’s take a look at this YM Weekly Chart to highlight the most recent 100% Measured Move.  The original upside price move between June 2019 and July 2019 resulted in a 2787 point price rally that replicated between August 2019 and November 2019 – after a brief price retracement.  Currently, price is rotating near the peak of this 100% measured price move near 27,875 while attempting to set up a new price trend.

In this ES Weekly example chart, we see a 100% Measured Move that originated in June 2019 and ended in July 2019 – just like on the YM chart.  Although the completion of the 100% measured move didn’t originate until the low that formed before price rallied to take out the previous high near 3029.50.  Remember, the other facets of Fibonacci price theory are also still at play in the markets while these 100% Measured Moves are taking place.  Thus, rotation between a previous price peak and valley (without establishing any new price highs or new price low) are considered “price rotation” – not trending.  The 100% Measured Move that did take place recently did complete a full 100% advancement and is now stalling near the 3040 level peak.

If you are not familiar with some of my forecasting and trading strategies for trading the S&P 500, or my gold trading signals be sure to click those links to see some pretty interesting charts like these.

SP500 INDEX TREND IDENTIFICATION AND TRADE SIGNAL SYSTEM

CYCLE AND PRICE PREDICTION SYSTEM

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Once these 100% measured moves complete, price usually attempts to stall or wash out a bit before attempting to establish a new price trend.  At this point, given the examples we’ve illustrated, we believe the US market will enter a period of rotation and moderate volatility as these 100% measured moves have completed the upside price advance for now.  Some level of price rotation after these 100% measured moves have completed will potentially allow for another attempt at a future 100% price advance after setting up a new price leg.

These techniques don’t always work, we recently got stopped out on a TVIX (vix/volatility trade for a loss) but we just close out our thirst natural gas trade for a quick 7% profit. The previous UGAZ trade netted 20%, and the one before that was 7.95%.

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, but stocks, and currencies. Some of these supercycles are going to last years. Brad Matheny goes into great detail with his simple to understand charts and guide about this. His financial market research is one of a kind and a real eye-opener. PDF guide: 2020 Cycles – The Greatest Opportunity Of Your Lifetime

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

I urge you to visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible with our BLACK FRIDAY offer, PLUS get a FREE BAR OF GOLD and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next set of crisis’.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Range-Bound Into The End Of 2019?

Two of our favorite charts for following the US markets are suggesting the markets are range bound headed into the end of 2019.  The news may continue to push the price higher as the overall bias has continued to be to the upside.  Yet, our Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting the current price trend has begun a “scouting party” type of move which may end in a moderate price correction fairly quickly.

IWM RUSSELL 2K STOCK INDEX CHART

Our Adaptive Fibonacci price modeling system is capable of learning from past price activity and attempts to present key price data and trigger levels that are important for future trending.  The GREEN and RED horizontal lines on the right edge of this chart shows where the TRIGGER LEVELS are for the Fibonacci system.  The bullish trigger level (GREEN) is 2.5% above the current price levels.  The bearish trigger level (RED) is nearly 16% below the current price level.  This suggests that price would have to target either of these levels to establish a new price trend, or continue rotating within these levels to setup new minor peaks and valleys in the price – thus creating revised TRIGGER LEVELS. Get my updates by joining my free trend signals email list.

What we find interesting is the current “scouting party” type of rally that is taking place on the right edge of this chart.  This upside price move is above historical resistance (the CYAN LINE) and appears to be an attempt to test the support levels above the $160.50 level.

If the price is successful in establishing support above this level, a new bullish trend may begin.  If not, the price will rotate lower and potentially begin a new bearish price trend.  Remember, the downside Bearish Trigger level is 16% below the current price – so that the downside move could be quite dramatic.

TRANSPORTATION INDEX WEEKLY CHART

This TRAN Weekly chart highlights a similar range-bound price setup where the bullish and bearish Fibonacci TRIGGER LEVELS are well above/below the current price.  The upside Bullish Trigger Level is 4.15% above the current TRAN price level – thus price would have to rally at least 4.5% higher to qualify as a breach of this Bullish Trigger Level and qualify as a potential new bullish trend.  The Bearish Trigger Level is near 18.4% below the current price level – thus the price would have to fall 18.5% from current levels to breach this Bearish Trigger Level and to qualify as a new Bearish Trend.

Where does this leave us headed into the end of 2019?  Our researchers believe the Santa Rally that most traders expect maybe more like a lump of coal in 2019.  We don’t expect any big breakout rally to happen over the next 35+ days and we don’t expect a massive 40% price correction either.  Our Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that any rotation within this 20% price range would be considered “absolutely normal” given the ranges that have been set up over the past 2+ years.

Last week we share these charts on the VIX that paint a clear picture of what is likely to unfold in the next week. This current week is one of the strongest months of the year so

Therefore, the downside price move of 6 to 12% would be completely normal.  And the upside move of 2~3% from current levels would be completely normal.  Any price rotation within the GREEN/RED Fibonacci triggers levels would be considered “normal price rotation” given the established price ranges, peaks and valleys.

We’ve been saying for months, 2019 and 2020 are certainly going to be interesting years for traders.  We believe any price rotation or breakout could lead to a wide range of price rotation that may shock skilled technical traders.  At this point, a 22%+ “normal” price range has setup in the markets.  Prices could rotate within this range and “not really go anywhere” in technical terms.

I want to wish everyone a Happy Thanksgiving and if you find this type of analysis interesting be sure to visit my website and sign up to get both my swing trade and investing ETF trade signals at 41% discount, plus a free bar of silver or gold with my Black Friday Offer Today! Visit: www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

Fibonacci Predictive Modeling Suggests Price Volatility Will Continue

We believe price volatility may surprise many traders throughout the end of this year.  Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that price must rotate dramatically higher or lower to establish any new confirmed price trends.  The Fibonacci price modeling system can be particularly useful in determining where and when price may attempt a major future price move.  Today, we are sharing both Daily and Weekly chart highlighting our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system for the ES and YM to help our readers and followers understand what’s in store for the US markets over the next few weeks and months. Before we get into the details be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter

Much like many of our other proprietary price and predictive modeling systems, the Fibonacci price modeling system adapts to price rotation, trends and volatility automatically by adjusting internal factoring levels and analysis functions to adapt to changes in price range and volatility.  The process of adapting in this manner provides us with some very insightful capabilities.  Today, we are going to focus on the Daily, the shorter term Fibonacci price analysis, and the Weekly, the longer term Fibonacci price analysis, modeling system results and attempt to share our current expectations with you.

This ES Daily Fibonacci chart prompts two initial analysis insights – first, the peaks near 3025 appear to have setup a double-top pattern that should be interpreted as major resistance.  Historical Fibonacci price trigger levels setup a range in price that has proven to be a key price channel (highlighted in LIGHT BLUE).  Current price rotation suggests continued price weakness may continue – at least until price attempts to rally above 3025 and attempts to establish a new price high.  Downside price targets are near 2900, 2695 and 2610.  Rotation within the price channel could continue for a while before a new price trend is established. If you want to see more of our trading indicators and tools click here.

This Weekly ES Fibonacci price chart highlights the very wide Fibonacci price trigger levels that suggest extreme price volatility could become a major factor going forward.  The interesting facet of this chart is that Bearish Fibonacci trigger levels have been crossed over the past 12+ months whereas Bullish Fibonacci trigger levels have stayed just outside of real price levels.  This suggests that the current upside price move, over the past 7+ months, could be a pullback in a bearish price trend.  As difficult as that may be for some traders to understand at this point, the process of the Fibonacci price modeling system that adapts to price trend and rotation is designed to allow for price to determine future outcomes.  Thus, the Bullish trigger levels being far outside the upside price peaks suggests that price may be moving higher within a defined downtrend cycle – a pullback within a bearish trend.

This Daily YM chart is setup very similar to the ES Daily chart with a defined price channel established by the current Fibonacci price trigger levels (highlighted in LIGHT BLUE on this chart).  The lower price peak recently, near September 11, suggests price was unable to rally back to near previous high levels.  Technical, this can be interpreted as a Double-top and can also be interpreted as a failure to attempt to rally above 27500.  We believe the current rotation is indicative of a channel consolidation before a breakout/breakdown move.

This Weekly YM chart highlights the extended range between the Fibonacci price trigger levels and suggests the YM is setting up a bigger move in the near future.  Just like the ES chart, the YM is showing that price is stuck within a channel and that the Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting a breakout or breakdown move is likely.  At these times, we would fall back to the Daily charts for the shorter term analysis which suggests sideways trading within a range and the potential that the bearish price trend is the more dominant bias.

We believe the US stock market could be setting up for a downside price rotation that may become very volatile over the next 2 to 3 months.  Price would have to break below recent price troughs before we could attempt to establish any new longer-term price trends.  The recent price rotation, higher highs, and higher lows, is indicative of a bullish price trend.  Although, we believe this trend may be a technical pullback of a bearish price trend.

Ultimately, price will dictate a new price trend and extended direction.  We believe any price rotation (downward) will be fairly short lived and setup a new upside price rally that will attempt to rally beyond recent price highs.  Skilled technical traders need to be prepared for extended volatility over the next 30 to 60+ days and be prepared for some big price trends.

MORE CRUCIAL WARNING SIGNS ABOUT THE US MARKETS TOPPING AND THE GOLD AND SILVER BULL MARKET

In early June I posted a detailed video explaining in showing the bottoming formation and gold and where to spot the breakout level, I also talked about crude oil reaching it upside target after a double bottom, and I called short term top in the SP 500 index. This was one of my premarket videos for members it gives you a good taste of what you can expect each and every morning before the Opening Bell. Watch Video Here.

I then posted a detailed report talking about where the next bull and bear markets are and how to identify them. This report focused mainly on the SP 500 index and the gold miners index. My charts compared the 2008 market top and bear market along with the 2019 market prices today. See Comparison Charts Here.

On June 26th I posted that silver was likely to pause for a week or two before it took another run up on June 26. This played out perfectly as well and silver is now head up to our first key price target of $17. See Silver Price Cycle and Analysis.

More recently on July 16th, I warned that the next financial crisis (bear market) was scary close, possibly just a couple weeks away. The charts I posted will make you really start to worry. See Scary Bear Market Setup Charts.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

In short, you should be starting to get a feel of where stocks are headed along with precious metals for the next 8-24 months. The next step is knowing when and what to buy and sell as these turning points take place, and this is the hard part. If you want someone to guide you through the next 12-24 months complete with detailed market analysis and trade alerts (entry, targets and exit price levels) join my ETF Trading Newsletter.

Be prepared for these incredible price swings before they happen and learn how you can identify and trade these fantastic trading opportunities in 2019, 2020, and beyond with our  Wealth Building & Global Financial Reset Newsletter.  You won’t want to miss this big move, folks.  As you can see from our research, everything has been setting up for this move for many months.

Join me with a 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities starting to present themselves will be life-changing if handled properly.

FREE GOLD OR SILVER WITH MEMBERSHIP!

Kill two birds with one stone and subscribe for two years to get your FREE PRECIOUS METAL and get enough trades to profit through the next metals bull market and financial crisis!

Chris Vermeulen – www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation, or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.  Visit our web site (www.thetechnicaltraders.com) to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.