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Stock Market Reaches Pivot Point With Trader

Many online brokers are cutting their trading commissions to zero. There are ways to benefit from this beyond just zero commissions. It is now better than ever to buy individual stocks as opposed to ETF’s when investing in a sector. I talk about this topic and then interview Chris Vermeulen who runs thetechnicaltraders.com to get his take on the current trends of the markets.


GET CHRIS’ ETF TRADE SIGNALS – CLICK HERE

Energy Sector Setting Up For Another Big Trade

Our research team has been nailing some really great trades recently in Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, ETFs, and many other market segments.  Some of these trades have resulted in fantastic gains of +10% to +20% for our members.

One trade in particular that we called back in July was the Energy trade in Crude Oil and ERY.  Specifically, we suggested that Crude Oil would fall based on our ADL predictive modeling system and that ERY would set up a very nice trade with targets set relatively close to the basing/bottom pattern. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market forecast signals newsletter

You can read our original research here:

July 10, 2019: PREDICTIVE MODELING SUGGEST OIL HEADED MUCH LOWER

July 26, 2019: ENERGY SETS UP TWO NEW TRADES – HERE THEY ARE

While the original setup resulted in a fantastic trade setup and completion – where both targets hit and the price extended more than $10 beyond our Target 2, we are now alerting you that ERY will likely set up another, even bigger, opportunity over the next 30+ days.

We believe our previous research, particularly related to Crude Oil, will result in ERY rotating lower over the next 20+ days, possibly towards the $50 level, before setting up another momentum base and beginning an upside move targeting the $70 to $75.  If our research is correct, this move will come at a time when global markets are expecting must slower economic activity and/or a massive supply glut in Oil.

Daily ERY Chart (Inverse Energy Sector ETF)

This Daily ERY Chart shows the original trade setup that occurred after our July 26 post and includes the original target levels drawn as YELLOW ARROWS on the chart.  It is easy to see the success of this trade and how ERY rotated higher as Crude Oil weakened.

Weekly ERY Chart (Inverse Energy Sector ETF)

This Weekly ERY chart highlights what we believe will be the next trade setup which will start to complete the momentum base sometime near the end of September or into early October.  We expect the rally in ERY to begin in mid-October and carry on into November, based on our ADL predictive modeling system (see the original article listed above).

We believe the downside rotation in ERY that we are expecting will coincide with a moderate upside move in Crude Oil over the next 30+ days before a bigger breakdown in Oil prices creates this incredible opportunity in ERY.  Skilled technical traders just need to wait for the momentum base to complete. I just posted this gold and silver trading setup unfolding here.

Check out these exciting charts full of opportunities that we will be sharing.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

If you follow our ADL predictive modeling system’s research, you’ll see that it expects Crude Oil to break down to levels below $40 before or near the end of 2019.  That move could come quicker than we expect is global markets accelerate the economic slowdown we’ve seen recently.  We’ll keep you informed of this, and other, great trades as they setup.

Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

In short, you should be starting to get a feel of where commodities and asset class is headed for the next 8+ months. The next step is knowing when and what to buy and sell as these turning points take place, and this is the hard part. If you want someone to guide you through the next 12-24 months complete with detailed market analysis and trade alerts (entry, targets and exit price levels) join my ETF Trading Newsletter.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities starting to present themselves will be life-changing if handled properly.

FREE GOLD OR SILVER WITH SUBSCRIPTION!

Chris Vermeulen – www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Where’s the Market bottom? Is This It?

Last Friday, August 2, 2019, we posted an article suggesting this current downside move in the US stock market may be setting up a “washout low” price rotation and we suggested all traders be very cautious over the weekend.  Obviously, with the US major indexes down -2 to -3% right now on extended selling after the Asian/Chinese stock market and currencies collapsed overnight, one has to ask the question “is this IT?  The big collapse everyone has been waiting for?”

Our researchers believe this is the precursor to the move that everyone has been waiting for.  This move in the markets sets up a potential for a bigger collapse and we strongly believe this is a washout rotational low that is setting up – very similar to what happened in October 2018 when the US Fed initiated a downside price rotation in the markets.  Time will tell if we are correct or not, but we believe the August 19, 2019 peak/breakdown date that we’ve been predicting is still a valid target date and this current news sets up a price pattern that may result in an incredible future price rotation for skilled technical traders.

At this time, if you have not been paying attention to our research and have not already scaled back your long trades in preparation for this type of volatility, you may get one more chance to reposition your portfolio before the move really breaks.  We believe the US markets are over-reacting to this US/China trade issue and the new tariffs with regards to this current downside price move.  We believe that once the news settles and reality returns, investors will suddenly realize the US economic outlook, as well as 4th quarter expectations, are much more opportunistic than current global trade issues.

There are three critical aspects that we, as skilled technical traders, have to consider at this time.

_  First, the 6 to 18-month pre-election price weakness cycle that should prompt a price decline sometime between now and May or June 2020.  Every major Presidential election cycle in the US has prompted this type of price weakness cycle as concerns regarding the future leadership in the US as well as a moderate economic stagnation in the US related to the election cycle create a pause/rotation in the US equity markets.  Is it starting early because of the US/China trade issues?  Take a minute to read this.

_  Second, the global trade issues and Asia/China banking issues present a very interesting dynamic related to global expectations.  As we’re reported, Asia/China have attempted to take advantage of cheap US Dollar QE functions and extended this debt into all sorts of projects and banking instruments.  As the US Fed pushes interest rates higher while the Asian/Chinese economic outlook weakens, at some point the Asian/Chinese markets may enter a “death spiral” mode with a domino-effect type of collapse.  Once the Asian/Chinese economy turns from expansion/growth to contraction/fear, it is just a matter of time before panic sets in as consumers watch assets, markets, capital and opportunity contract into the abyss.  How much longer can China continue to keep their citizens immune from reality? Take a minute to read this.

_  Third, the EU is starting to crumble under the weight of the lack of foreign investment and growth expectations.  Recent news suggests that Germany has entered a negative rate process with GDP and manufacturing shrinking considerably over the past 16+ months.  We believe this contraction in the EU is starting to take root and could be a much broader problem in the EU than anyone really wants to admit. Take a minute to read this.

ES Mini – SP500 Index Daily Chart

Using our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system, we’re going to attempt to highlight why we believe this move may be very close to being over (bottoming) and why traders need to pay attention to the rotation/reversion that may begin to unfold very shortly.  First, we’ll take a look at this ES Daily chart and we want all of our readers to pay attention to the deeper price low setup in June 2019.  Until the current price breaks below that low price level, near 2720, Fibonacci price theory teaches us that this downside rotation is nothing more than a bearish price rotation in a BULLISH trend.  Fibonacci price theory suggests that price will attempt to identify new price support (likely near the GREY and RED projected Fib price levels on the right side of the chart) and then attempt to rotate higher after support has been found.

If our analysis is correct, then the price has already found support, near 2900, and is already exploring a “washout low” price level below this critical support level on the ES.  This would suggest that price may attempt a rebound upside price move (reversion) back to levels near 3000 fairly quickly once this downside pricing pressure (news) abates.

Just like we saw back in May, we profited from the rally before the May sell-off, then we profited from the falling market using SDS just like we did again for the recent rally now this market crash/correction. Our Current SDS ETF is up over 8.5% in a couple of days during a time when everyone else is losing a lot of money.

Dow Jones Industrial Index Daily Chart

This INDU chart paints a similar picture where price has already broken lower, below the 26,000 GREY Fibonacci projected target level and is currently resting just 400 points above the ORANGE Moving Average support level.  If our analysis is correct and this is a washout low price rotation that will prompt a price reversion move, the upside potential in the INDU is +1000 to +1750 points higher.

NASDAQ Daily Chart

Lastly, this NASDAQ chart represents the most volatile of the three markets we are highlighting.  The NQ Fibonacci price modeling system suggests the downside price move has yet to reach the GREY or RED Fibonacci projected targets and that suggests the NQ could still see some price weakness over the next few days.  Overall, though, the ES and INDU are suggesting the bottom is likely already starting to form and we would not be surprised to see the NQ trading above 7800 before August 19, 2019 (+300 points).

The one thing we want to keep in mind is that the total global stock market matrix is not a single entity – it is a combination of various entities that make up a basket of trading instruments.  As the old saying goes, it is not a “stock market”, it is a “market of stocks”.

Pay attention to how capital shifts play out as we get nearer to the US election date and what is happening throughout the world.  The German elections, BREXIT, Asian/Chinese market turmoil and commodity price deflation are all playing out to generate these huge swings in the global markets.  Our members have already seen incredible success from our calls and trades.  Isn’t it time for you to learn how TheTechnicalTraders.com can help you stay ahead of these incredible market moves?

In early June I posted a detailed video explaining in showing the bottoming formation and gold and where to spot the breakout level, I also talked about crude oil reaching it upside target after a double bottom, and I called short term top in the SP 500 index. This was one of my premarket videos for members it gives you a good taste of what you can expect each and every morning before the Opening Bell. Watch Video Here.

I then posted a detailed report talking about where the next bull and bear markets are and how to identify them. This report focused on gold miners and the SP 500 index. My charts compared the 2008 market top and bear market along with the 2019 market prices today. See Comparison Charts Here.

On June 26th I posted that silver was likely to pause for a week or two before it took another run up on June 26. This played out perfectly as well and silver is now head up to our first key price target of $17. See Silver Price Cycle and Analysis.

More recently on July 16th, I warned that the next financial crisis (bear market) was scary close, possibly just a couple weeks away. The charts I posted will make you really start to worry. See Scary Bear Market Setup Charts.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

We believe this current downside price move is setting up to become an over-reaction price swing that will likely result in a very short-term buying opportunity for skilled technical traders.

In short, you should be starting to get a feel of where stocks are headed for the next. The next step is knowing when and what to buy and sell as these turning points take place, and this is the hard part. If you want someone to guide you through the next 12-24 months complete with detailed market analysis and trade alerts (entry, targets and exit price levels) join my ETF Trading Newsletter.

Be prepared for these incredible price swings before they happen and learn how you can identify and trade these fantastic trading opportunities in 2019, 2020, and beyond with our  Wealth Building & Global Financial Reset Newsletter.  You won’t want to miss this big move, folks.  As you can see from our research, everything has been set up for this move for many months.

Join me with a 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities starting to present themselves will be life-changing if handled properly.

FREE GOLD OR SILVER WITH MEMBERSHIP!

Kill two birds with one stone and subscribe for two years to get your FREE PRECIOUS METAL and get enough trades to profit through the next metals bull market and financial crisis!

Chris Vermeulen – www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Part II – Are Real Estate ETF’s The Next Big Trade?

In part I of this research post, we highlighted how the shifting landscape of the US real estate market may be setting up an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders.  It is our belief that the continued capital shift which has been driving foreign investment into US assets, real estate, and other investments may be shifting away from US real estate as tell-tale signs of stress are starting to show.  Foreclosures and price drops are one of the first signs that stress exists in the markets and we believe the real estate segment could be setting up for an incredible trade opportunity.

SRS, the Proshares Ultrashort Real Estate EFT has recently completed a unique “washout low” price bottom that we believe may become an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders.  If the US Fed pushes the market into a panic mode, sellers will become even more desperate to offload their homes and buyers will become even more discerning in terms of selecting what and when to buy.

Our opinion is that the recent “washout low” price bottom in SRS is very likely to be a unique “scouting party” low/bottom that may set up a very big move to the upside over the next 4 to 12+ months.  If our research is correct, the continued forward navigation for the US Fed, global central banks and the average consumers buying and selling homes is about to become very volatile.

If SRS moves above the $25.50 level, our first upside Fibonacci price target and clears the $24.25 previous peak set in April 2019, it would be a very clear indication that a risk trade in Real Estate is back in play.  Ideally, price holding above the $21.65 level would provide a very clear level of support negating any future price weakness below $21.50.

This weekly SRS chart highlights what we believe to be the optimal BUY ZONE and the upside price targets near $28 to $29.  Since the bottom in 2009-10, after the credit market crisis, we have not seen any substantial risk in the Real Estate market for over 8+ years.  Now, though, it is our opinion that this risk trade is very real and that technical trader should be aware of this potential move and what it means to protect assets and wealth.

If our research proves to be accurate and any future move by the US Fed will prompt a “rush to the exits” by home sellers, then there is really only one course of action left for us to consider.  Either the Fed will reduce rates, buying some at-risk sellers a bit of time before a rush to sell overwhelms the markets and prices begin a fast decline in an attempt to secure quick buyers; or the Fed will leave rates at current levels where at-risk sellers will continue to attempt to offload their homes to any willing buyers before declining prices and panicked sellers start the “race to the bottom” in terms of pricing.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Real Estate has already run through the price advance cycle and the price maturity cycle.  There is really only one cycle left to unfold at this point – the “price revaluation cycle”.  This is where the opportunity lies with our suggested SRS trade setup.

We believe this bottom in SRS will result in a few more weeks of trading near price support (above $20 and below $22.50) where traders will be able to acquire their positions.  The bigger move will happen as risk becomes more evident – very similar to what has recently happened in Gold. Once that risk is visible to traders/investors, the upside potentials ($28+ to $42+) won’t seem so illogical any longer.

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in real estate, but metals, stocks, and currencies. Some of these super cycles are going to last years. Brad Matheny goes into great detail with his simple to understand charts and guide about this. His financial market research is one of a kind and a real eye-opener. PDF guide: 2020 Cycles – The Greatest Opportunity Of Your Lifetime

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

I urge you to visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible, get a FREE BAR OF GOLD and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next set of crisis’.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Are Real Estate ETF’s The Next Big Trade?

A subscriber recently mentioned getting into a real estate ETF so we started going over the data which may suggest the Real Estate sector could become the next big trade over the next 12+ months.  The news that the US Fed may decrease rates in an attempt to front-run global economic weakness and real estate market weakness may result in a waterfall event in local and regional real estate markets.  This type of event could become a fantastic trading opportunity for technical traders.

Recently we have been talking about the unit and very different opportunities in other physical assets like precious metals. Each metal is unique for market timing has its own personality. Our gold predictions are an eye-opener, why silver is awesome, and our most recent analysis on platinum is timely.

Overall, our research has been focused on one of the hottest markets anywhere in the US, California.  Los Angeles, Ventura County, Orange County, San Diego, and San Francisco make up the entire massive Southern California real estate market.  The California real estate market is a fairly strong indicator for weaker market segments because the number of transactions taking place across the 400+ miles spanning San Francisco to San Diego represent multiple trillions of dollars, vast segments of consumers and types of housing as well as an incredibly diverse economic landscape ranging from coastal regions, farming regions, cities, technology hubs, agriculture and dozens of others (source).

Our concern is that a rate decrease by the US Fed may be interpreted as a “move to attempt to abate fear” instead of a “move to support the markets”.  If this decrease in rates does happen and at-risk homeowners fear the Fed is trying to push buttons to adjust the consumer environment toward a “buying bias” and sellers become scared, then the race to sell faster (decreasing prices to attract buyers) may become the norm.  In other words, in an effort to support the markets, the Fed could take actions that remove the floor from the markets as sellers attempt to get the best price possible before buyers become aware of the “race to the bottom” in terms of pricing.

At-risk homeowners are under increasing pressures as pricing, income and other expenses seem to have wreaked havoc with what was a traditionally strong real estate market just three years ago.  It appears the Fed has raised rates just enough to start to show the cracks in the dam in Orange County and LA County, California.  The increasing number of blue dots, as well as the continue “price drops” in these areas, are a very clear sign that the “hot market” is now just “mildly warm and cooling fast”.  Prices are past the peak and are already starting to decline fairly rapidly.

Additionally, delinquency levels for commercial and industrial loans are starting to rise dramatically – much like what happened in 2007 – just months before the credit market crash in 2008.  Commercial and Industrial loan delinquencies rose sharply from 1.14 in Q2 2007 to 1.45 in Q1 2008 – eventually peaking at 447 in Q3 2009.  Currently, Delinquency levels are at 1.17 – up from 0.93 for Q4 2018.  If this trend continues past September, we could be looking at a very different real estate economic picture by the end of 2019 or early 2020 (Source).

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

Our interpretation of the US housing market is that buyers are becoming more opportunistic as they are watching the markets and watching how sellers are dropping prices in an attempt to attract a sale.  Buyers have not seen this type of activity since early 2007-08 or so when sellers were getting desperate to get out of their homes near the top of the market.  At the same time, watching how sellers attempt to push their home into the hands of buyers creates a shifting dynamic in the Real Estate market.  All the sudden it went from a seller’s market and is now shifting into a buyers market.

The rates of delinquencies, consumer confidence, and levels of disposable income all factor into the market’s reactions to price and sales activity.  When buyers believe it is opportunistic to buy, they will move mountains to attempt to acquire a home or an asset.  When buyers believe it is not opportunistic to buy an asset, they will likely decide to wait for a more opportunistic time to make their purchase.

In part II of this article, we will share our research that highlights the incredible trade setup related to the Real Estate market and how technical traders can position their portfolios for this move.

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in real estate, but metals, stocks, and currencies. Some of these super cycles are going to last years. Brad Matheny goes into great detail with his simple to understand charts and guide about this. His financial market research is one of a kind and a real eye-opener. PDF guide: 2020 Cycles – The Greatest Opportunity Of Your Lifetime

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

I urge you to visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible, get a FREE BAR OF GOLD and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next set of crisis’.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Markets Waiting to Decide, Up or Down

If you wanna become a technical trader with use and trade ETFs then be sure to join our Wealth Building Newsletter today and get our daily video analysis and swing trade alerts. In the past 17 months, our newsletter trade signals have generated 91% ROI for its subscribers, be sure to join before the markets start making new big moves and profit with us!

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Gold, Silver, Oil, Cryptos

UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY: First, we typically see stocks sell-off and as the old saying goes, “Sell in May and Go Away!” which is what has been happening.

So what does this mean? It means we should start to see money flow into the safe-haven assets like the Utility sector, bonds, and most importantly precious metals. I anticipated this and our XLU utilities ETF taken with members has already hit our first profit target, and our VIX ETF trade also hit out 15% profit target and we the balance of it is still up 25% as of yesterday.

Second, my birthday was this month, and I think its time I open the doors for a once a year opportunity for everyone to get a gift that could have some considerable value in the future.

For May I am going to give away and ship out silver rounds to anyone who buys a 1-year, or 2-year subscription to my Wealth Trading Newsletter. You can upgrade to this longer-term subscription or if you are new, join one of these two plans listed below, and you will receive:

1-Year Subscription Gets One 1oz Silver Round FREE
(Could be worth hundreds of dollars)

2-Year Subscription Gets TWO 1oz Silver Rounds FREE
(Could be worth a lot in the future)

I only have few silver rounds I’m giving away
so upgrade or join now before its too late!

SUBSCRIBE TO MY TRADE ALERTS AND GET YOUR FREE SILVER ROUNDS!

Chris Vermeulen