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Over the past few weeks and months, we’ve been alerting our followers to the incredible setups in Natural Gas and Crude Oil.  If you’ve been following our research, you already know on May 21st we called for Oil to break down from $62 level with a target of $55 then $49 price levels. We’ve been alerting that Natural Gas was setting up an incredible seasonal trade with a move that was likely to push lower into the $2.00 to $2.20 level – suggesting any move into this range would be a solid buying opportunity for the seasonal upside move.  Well, here we are about 35 days later and look at what happened.

Crude Oil Weekly Chart

The US/China trade issues and global economic turmoil is taking a toll on Crude Oil.  Price rotated downward very sharply last week with an incredible -8% downside move in one day.  Currently, price is resting just above the Moving Average and should soon breakdown below this level towards the $49 price level.  At that point, price should stall, briefly, before attempting to find support below $50. Our Fibonacci price modeling system suggests true support is found near $45 and $40.  Be prepared for a potential downside move of -20% to -25% from current levels.

Natural Gas Weekly Chart

Natural Gas has done exactly what we expected.  On this Weekly chart, you can see our shaded BLUE support range area and our GREEN and RED arrows from months ago highlighting what we expected to happen in price.  Yes, price is lower than we currently expected, but it has aligned with our expected price rotation almost perfectly. At this point, the sub $2.20 level is a perfect opportunity for skilled technical traders to prepare for the seasonal trend that will push Natural Gas back above the $2.65 to $3.15 level.  Allow us to go through our expectations with you so you understand how to plan for and trade this move. August is typically moderately bearish for NG.  So expect to try to pick your entry for this trade in August.  The ratio of bearish price activity in August is 1.2x the bullish price activity. September is STRONGLY BULLISH – with an upside ratio of 10x compared to historical downside price activity.  September is where we should see a big upside price move. October is still STRONGLY BULLISH – with an upside ratio of 3x compared to historical downside price activity. November is moderately bullish with a 1.3x upside ratio compared to downside price activity.

VIDEO – TODAYS MARKET ANALYSIS SPX, BONDS, GOLD, OIL, NAT GAS

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CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

This means two things.  First, Crude Oil should continue to breakdown and target the $49 price level over the next few days and weeks while Natural Gas sets up an incredible upside price setup below $2.25 for skilled technical traders.  Oil is moving lower because of lower demand related to the global economic slowdown and larger supply issues.  Natural Gas is setting up a seasonal pattern that could become a fantastic trading opportunity for traders that time their entries and understand the setup.  In late August or early September price should begin to rally well above $2.50 with an ultimate upside target of well above $3.00. In short, if you want to know what the market is going to nearly every day and get my trade alerts complete with entry, targets and stop prices join my Wealth Building Newsletter – www.TheTechnicalTraders.com Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd.
Before we discuss these incredible trade setups in the Energy sector, we have to discuss the continued shifting global economy and how that relates to these setups.  Nearly three weeks ago, we posted a research article suggesting Crude Oil would call to levels near $50 over the next 30+ days, then stall for about 45 days before falling further and potentially attempting new lows near $40 ppb.  It is important to understand certain aspects of the global economy, economic demand and how it relates to seasonal patterns for Energy. We believe the move lower is Crude Oil is related to a supply glut that continues to plague the global markets while global economic trade, shipping, and activity continue to weaken.  Too much oil supply with weakening global economic activity means Crude Oil will likely waffle lower until this dynamic changes. Please read our recent research post to know where Crude Oil is likely to head next. Also this crude oil, prediction uses our oil price DNA algorithm to show us the future price range of oil. Other energy-related symbols, like Natural Gas and ERY, are set up for a different type of price move. The reality of the situation is that once Crude Oil reaches to levels near $50 ppb, it is very likely that a support level will push Crude back higher (as we suggest in our research) which will align with a seasonal pattern for Natural Gas and early Winter demand for heating oil.  September, October, and November are typically a ramp-up period for winter demand and end of year holiday travel.  People tend to take advantage of the last bit of Summer to seek out vacation spots, prepare for winter and push the cold back as long as possible. Future contracts may move higher, in preparation of this seasonal trend, many months before the season actually starts.  This is the reason we believe the energy sector is setting up some incredible opportunities for skilled technical traders.

The weekly chart of Natural Gas

This first Weekly chart of Natural Gas highlights a basing pattern that we’ve been following for months.  We believe any move below $2.30 is a strong bottoming/basing setup for skilled traders and our predictive modeling systems suggest we are just weeks (3 to 5+) away from a big upside move in NG. We believe natural gas will continue to fall and base. Once a bottom has been made the upside potential for NG over the next 60+ days is quite substantial.  We believe an in initial upside move after it bottoms will be to levels above $3.15 will take place before October 10 and that potential for an extreme breakout upside move above $4.00 is quite likely before the end of November 2019. Please read this article to learn more about our research into NG and the opportunities that are setting up now.  Also, this post we shared Natural Gas Moves Into Basing Zone.

ERY – Bear Energy Sector Chart

Keeping in mind that the setup within the energy sector is two-fold.  First, Oil and NG will continue to fall and base/bottom (moving slightly lower over the next few weeks).  This is why ERY is such a great setup right now.  Any breakdown in energy commodity prices over the next 3~5 weeks will push ERY 15% to 25% higher from current levels – which is exactly what we are expecting to happen. Then, as Crude Oil and Natural Gas base in their support zones, ERY will peak which is when we want to pull profits from ERY and watch other bullish energy ETFs for long side setups. From current levels, we believe ERY will target $50 to $52.50 fairly quickly as Crude Oil and NG continue to move lower and setup a momentum base within the basing zone/support range.  Remember Crude Oil should move to levels near $50 (a full 10% lower than current price levels) before basing.

Concluding Thoughts:

As we’ve been suggesting for months, 2019 and 2020 are setting up to be incredible years for skilled technical traders.  These moves in commodities, energy, and metals are providing us with trade after trade of 10%, 20% or more.  Almost every month, the markets are setting up 10 to 15+ incredible trading opportunities and all we have to do is time our entries and run these trades as we do any other trade. Not all trade setups are the kind we like and we only enter the ones that we think have the highest opportunity and lowest risk. Get ready because these incredible setups in Metals and Energy should keep you busy pulling the trigger to create profits over the next 5+ months or longer with my  Wealth Building & Global Financial Reset Newsletter Join me with a 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar Shipped To You Free. Follow our research and visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades. Chris Vermeulen Technical Traders Ltd.
Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system is predicting that Crude Oil will break recent support levels near $55 and move very quickly down to levels near $50 to $51 before August 2nd, 2019.  The move to near the $50 price level is likely to be a 100% measured Fibonacci price extension related to the initial downside move from $61 to $55 earlier in July 2019. After this new downside move completes, we expect Crude Oil will form a short-term price base just above $50 that may last many days or weeks.  Our earlier analysis of Oil called this move and we outline our future oil expectations.  For more information about this call, please review the following research posts. This Daily Crude Oil chart highlights the next downside price move that we are expecting will take place over the next 4 to 7 days.  After the $50 to $51 lows are reached, Oil should base near these levels and begin a moderate upside move back to levels above $54.  This move aligns perfectly with our earlier analysis and research and strongly suggests that oil will target a sub-$40 price level in the near future.
What does this mean for investors and traders?  It means that our ADL predictive modeling system is accurately calling these moves in oil and that the sub $40 price expectations could reflect a decrease in global economic expectations over the next 6+ months.  For oil to continue to fall to levels below $40, demand would have to wane or supply would have to increase globally – or both.  Additionally, it would likely indicate that global expectation for the future demand for oil would be far lower than previously expected.  A commodity price collapse, like this, could be an early warning sign that the global economy is slowing much faster than many expect or it could be a sign that the fundamentals in the oil market are shifting as the economy is slowing. Either way, it appears we are headed for sub $40 price levels in oil later this year.

CRUCIAL WARNING SIGNS ABOUT GOLD, MINERS, SILVER, SP500

In early June I posted a detailed video explaining in showing the bottoming formation and gold and where to spot the breakout level, I also talked about crude oil reaching it upside target after a double bottom, and I called short term top in the SP 500 index. This was one of my premarket videos for members it gives you a good taste of what you can expect each and every morning before the Opening Bell. Watch Video Here. I then posted a detailed report talking about where the next bull and bear markets are and how to identify them. This report focused mainly on the SP 500 index and the gold miners index. My charts compared the 2008 market top and bear market along with the 2019 market prices today. See Comparison Charts Here. On June 26th I posted that silver was likely to pause for a week or two before it took another run up on June 26. This played out perfectly as well and silver is now head up to our first key price target of $17. See Silver Price Cycle and Analysis. More recently on July 16th, I warned that the next financial crisis (bear market) was scary close, possibly just a couple weeks away. The charts I posted will make you really start to worry. See Scary Bear Market Setup Charts.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

In short, you should be starting to get a feel of where each commodity and asset class is headed for the next 8+ months. The next step is knowing when and what to buy and sell as these turning points take place, and this is the hard part. If you want someone to guide you through the next 12-24 months complete with detailed market analysis and trade alerts (entry, targets and exit price levels) join my ETF Trading Newsletter. Be prepared for these incredible price swings before they happen and learn how you can identify and trade these fantastic trading opportunities in 2019, 2020, and beyond with our  Wealth Building & Global Financial Reset Newsletter.  You won’t want to miss this big move, folks.  As you can see from our research, everything has been setting up for this move for many months. Join me with a 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities starting to present themselves will be life-changing if handled properly.

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Kill two birds with one stone and subscribe for two years to get your FREE PRECIOUS METAL and get enough trades to profit through the next metals bull market and financial crisis! Chris Vermeulen – www.TheTechnicalTraders.com